MX23RW : Thursday, May 29 21:40:22| >> :60:673:673:
Oman national football team
Friendlies 3
May 28, 2025 at 5pm UK
Abdullah bin Nasser bin Khalifa Stadium
Lebanon national football team

Oman
1 - 0
Lebanon

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Oman and Lebanon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Kuwait 0-1 Oman
Tuesday, March 25 at 6.15pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Lebanon 4-0 East Timor
Thursday, March 20 at 6pm in International Friendlies

We said: Oman 1-0 Lebanon

While Lebanon have been in very good form over the last year, Oman has moved up three places in the FIFA rankings under Rashid Jaber, and we feel the hosts will be able to edge the result in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oman win with a probability of 48.86%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 24.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oman win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Lebanon win it was 0-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Oman in this match.

Result
OmanDrawLebanon
48.86% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 27.03% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 24.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.22% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.08% (0.017000000000003 0.02)58.92% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.59% (0.011999999999997 0.01)79.41% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Oman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.76% (0.012 0.01)24.23% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.42% (0.018999999999998 0.02)58.58% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Lebanon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.68% (0.0039999999999978 0)40.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.05% (0.0010000000000012 0)76.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Oman 48.85%
    Lebanon 24.11%
    Draw 27.03%
OmanDrawLebanon
1-0 @ 13.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 48.85%
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 9.77% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.03%
0-1 @ 8.88% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.71%
0-2 @ 4.03% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 24.11%

How you voted: Oman vs Lebanon

Oman
100%
Draw
0.0%
Lebanon
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2023 7pm
Friendlies 3
Lebanon
0-2
Oman
Sep 10, 2019 4.30pm
International Friendlies
Oman
1-0
Lebanon
Al-Ghassani (55')
Sep 9, 2018 5pm
International Friendlies
Lebanon
0-0
Oman
rhs 2.0
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