We said: Internacional 2-2 Bahia
There could be at least one late twist in this game, as Bahia have scored all of their Libertadores goals in the second half this season, while Internacional have netted the joint-most of any side during the final 10 minutes.
Given home advantage, inconsistent Inter should have just enough gas in the tank to deny their domestic rivals and reach the last 16.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 68.01%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 13.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.