Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 9, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Atletico Nacional3 - 1Internacional
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Atletico Nacional and Internacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bahia 1-0 Atletico Nacional
Friday, April 25 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Friday, April 25 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Corinthians 4-2 Internacional
Saturday, May 3 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, May 3 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
10
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Internacional had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Internacional win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Nacional | Draw | Internacional |
41.11% ( -0.63) | 27.64% ( -0.07) | 31.25% ( 0.7) |
| Both teams to score 48.04% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
