Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 28, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
River Plate1 - 1Universitario
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: River Plate 1-1 Platense (2-4 pen.)
Wednesday, May 21 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Wednesday, May 21 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
25
Last Game: Universitario 1-0 Barcelona
Thursday, May 15 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, May 15 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
We said: River Plate 1-1 Universitario
Already assured of first place, River have little to play for - perhaps with the exception of pride, after slumping out of the Argentinian Apertura playoffs. La U's need for points is more acute, so they could battle their way to a low-scoring draw, getting them over the line and into the Copa Libertadores knockouts. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 64.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Universitario had a probability of 14.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Universitario win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Universitario |
64.01% ( -0.05) | 21.13% ( 0.01) | 14.86% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 47.47% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
