Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 9, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha
Barcelona2 - 3River Plate
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Barcelona SC and River Plate.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: River Plate 4-1 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, May 5 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, May 5 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
21
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 49.89%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 24.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Barcelona SC win it was 1-0 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona SC | Draw | River Plate |
24.02% ( -0.33) | 26.09% ( -0.12) | 49.89% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 47.69% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
