MX23RW : Thursday, April 24 21:24:40| >> :60:3:3:
Barcelona SC (Ecuador)
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 2, 2025 at 3am UK
Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha
Independiente del Valle

Barcelona
1 - 0
Independiente

Carabali (5')
Arroyo (31'), Arreaga (61'), Eugenio Gomez Cuero (86'), Caicedo (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Schunke (24'), Quinonez (85')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Barcelona SC and Independiente del Valle.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Corinthians 2-0 Barcelona
Thursday, March 13 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-0 Independiente
Thursday, July 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona SC win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Independiente del Valle win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barcelona SC in this match.

Result
Barcelona SCDrawIndependiente del Valle
38.1% (0.026999999999994 0.03) 27.15% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 34.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.36% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.97% (0.062999999999995 0.06)55.03% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.71% (0.050000000000001 0.05)76.29% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)
Barcelona SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.98% (0.045999999999992 0.05)28.02% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.34% (0.058 0.06)63.66% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96% (0.025999999999996 0.03)30.04% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.83% (0.030000000000001 0.03)66.17% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Barcelona SC 38.09%
    Independiente del Valle 34.76%
    Draw 27.14%
Barcelona SCDrawIndependiente del Valle
1-0 @ 10.7% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.81% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.48% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.89% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 38.09%
1-1 @ 12.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.14%
0-1 @ 10.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 6.09% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 34.76%

Head to Head
Oct 22, 2020 1.30am
Group Stage
Independiente
2-0
Barcelona
Jonatan Ortiz (24'), Torres (60')
Segovia (33'), Murillo (43')

Alvez (10'), Orejuela (31'), Velasco (86')
Mar 4, 2020 10.15pm
Group Stage
Barcelona
0-3
Independiente

Riveros (27'), Pinatares (53'), Aimar (71')
Pineida (81')
Torres (55'), Calle (88'), Pellerano (90' pen.)
Faravelli (45'), Preciado (58'), Pinos (69')
rhs 2.0
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