MX23RW : Sunday, June 1 19:42:56| >> :60:1210:1210:
FC Cincinnati
MLS Playoffs | Regular Season
May 29, 2025 at 12.30am UK
TQL Stadium
FC Dallas

Cincinnati
3 - 3
Dallas

Bucha (30'), Denkey (42' pen.), Valenzuela (86')
Powell (2'), Hadebe (78'), Baird (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Musa (50'), Julio (68'), Ibeagha (90+2')
Farfan (7'), da Silva Ferreira (44'), Musa (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's MLS Playoffs clash between FC Cincinnati and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 4-2 Cincinnati
Monday, May 26 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 1-0 Dallas
Saturday, May 24 at 8pm in MLS Playoffs

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-1 Dallas

FC Dallas have not been in good form of late, currently winless in their last four games, while failing to score in three of those matches. Cincinnati, meanwhile, lost their last match, but they are one of only two teams still unbeaten at home in the MLS this season, and we feel they will leave this match with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 61.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 17.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Dallas win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawDallas
61.74% (0.104 0.1) 20.56% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03) 17.7% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 55.66% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.53% (0.010999999999996 0.01)40.46% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.15% (0.012 0.01)62.84% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.39% (0.028999999999996 0.03)12.61% (-0.039 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.28% (0.068000000000005 0.07)38.71% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.69% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)36.31% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.9% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)73.09% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 61.74%
    Dallas 17.7%
    Draw 20.56%
FC CincinnatiDrawDallas
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.82% (0.019 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.48% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 6.87% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.78% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.55% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.51% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.47% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.45% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 61.74%
1-1 @ 9.6% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.56%
1-2 @ 4.87% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.64% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 17.7%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Dallas

FC Cincinnati
91.3%
Draw
8.7%
Dallas
0.0%
23
Head to Head
Jun 30, 2024 1.30am
Dallas
0-1
Cincinnati

Norris (58'), Ibeagha (82')
Orellano (47')
Kubo (18'), Powell (56'), Yedlin (61'), Kelsy (65'), Celentano (88'), Acosta (90+4')
Jun 28, 2020 12.30am
Sep 1, 2019 1am
Gameweek 34
Dallas
3-1
Cincinnati
Hollingshead (12'), Barrios (49'), Ondrasek (51')
Hedges (37'), Badji (60'), Cannon (62'), Acosta (85')
Ledesma (64' pen.)
Gutman (65'), Ledesma (73')
Manneh (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!