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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
New York City
Major League Soccer
May 4, 2025 at 8pm UK
Citi Field
FC Cincinnati

NY City
1 - 0
Cincinnati

Fernandez (9')
Freese (39'), Wolf (72'), Haak (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Miazga (13'), Evander (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
Last Game: Toronto 0-1 NY City
Saturday, April 26 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-1 Kansas
Saturday, April 26 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 1-2 FC Cincinnati

 No matter what other teams have thrown at them this year, Cincy always seem to have an answer and Noonan's crew may be the best side in the league when it comes to winning close games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 47.48%. A win for FC Cincinnati has a probability of 29.57% and a draw has a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win is 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.29%).

Result
New York City FCDrawFC Cincinnati
47.48% (1.139 1.14) 22.94% (0.029 0.03) 29.57% (-1.174 -1.17)
Both teams to score 62.6% (-0.863 -0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.76% (-0.823 -0.82)38.24% (0.818 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.48% (-0.88 -0.88)60.51% (0.875 0.88)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.54% (0.10899999999999 0.11)16.45% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.85% (0.2 0.2)46.14% (-0.204 -0.2)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (-1.134 -1.13)25.07% (1.13 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.24% (-1.592 -1.59)59.75% (1.588 1.59)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 47.48%
    FC Cincinnati 29.57%
    Draw 22.93%
New York City FCDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.13 0.13)
1-0 @ 7.44% (0.313 0.31)
2-0 @ 6.72% (0.308 0.31)
3-1 @ 5.59% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 4.04% (0.2 0.2)
3-2 @ 3.87% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.52% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.096 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 47.48%
1-1 @ 10.29% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.43% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-0 @ 4.12% (0.159 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.93%
1-2 @ 7.12% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-1 @ 5.71% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.95% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.29% (-0.187 -0.19)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 29.57%

How you voted: NY City vs Cincinnati

New York City FC
9.1%
Draw
0.0%
FC Cincinnati
90.9%
11
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 9pm
MLS Cup Round One
Cincinnati
0-0
NY City
(Aggregate 0-0 | NY City win 6-5 on penalties)
Bucha (65'), Powell (85'), Awaziem (90')
Parks (11'), O'Toole (83'), Rodriguez (89')
> Preview
Nov 2, 2024 9pm
MLS Cup Round One
NY City
3-1
Cincinnati
Martinez (22'), Martins (40'), Rodriguez (90+7' pen.)
Rodriguez (53'), Sands (72')
Orellano (65')
Bucha (43'), Yedlin (56'), Kubo (68')
> Preview
Oct 28, 2024 10.45pm
MLS Cup Round One
Cincinnati
1-0
NY City
Rodrigo Asad (51')
Orellano (29'), Rodrigo Asad (89')

Sands (41'), Moralez (82')
Gray (90+9')
> Preview
Oct 3, 2024 12.30am
NY City
3-2
Cincinnati
Ilencic (16'), Martinez (65'), Rodriguez (75' pen.)
Sands (41'), Martins (66'), Perea (84'), Gray (90+1'), Wolf (90+14')
Acosta (69' pen.), Baird (90+6')
Kelsy (34')
> Preview
Aug 6, 2024 1am
Group Stage
Cincinnati
4-2
NY City
Bucha (79'), Rodrigo Asad (82'), Kubo (86'), Santos (89')
Nwobodo (78')
Rodriguez (25'), Mijatovic (61')
Fernandez (33'), Wolf (90+3')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew117311810824
2Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1171321101122
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati117131513222
4Inter MiamiInter Miami106312011921
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC116141812619
6Nashville SCNashville115242014617
7Orlando City114521812617
8New York City FCNY City115241313017
9New England RevolutionNew England1051497216
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114341213-115
11Chicago Fire113441822-413
12DC United113351323-1012
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta112451220-810
14Toronto11146816-87
15CF MontrealMontreal11038516-113

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver118212281426
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd115421510519
3Portland TimbersPortland115332119218
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles115241716117
5Seattle SoundersSeattle114431713416
6Colorado RapidsColorado114431516-116
7Austin FCAustin11515713-616
8Dallas114341419-515
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes114162420413
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake114071217-512
11St Louis City11245812-410
12Houston DynamoHouston112451016-610
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy10037820-123
15San Diego FC00000000
> Full Version


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