Major League Soccer
May 4, 2025 at 8pm UK
Citi Field
NY City1 - 0Cincinnati
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Toronto 0-1 NY City
Saturday, April 26 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer
Saturday, April 26 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
12
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-1 Kansas
Saturday, April 26 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer
Saturday, April 26 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
15
We said: New York City FC 1-2 FC Cincinnati
No matter what other teams have thrown at them this year, Cincy always seem to have an answer and Noonan's crew may be the best side in the league when it comes to winning close games. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 47.48%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
47.48% ( -0.05) | 22.94% ( 0.01) | 29.57% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 62.6% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
