UEFA Nations League

Nations League | Semi-Finals

Jun 4, 2025 at 8pm UK

Allianz Arena

Germany
0 - 0
Portugal

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Nations League clash between Germany and Portugal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany

All competitions

Last Game: Germany 3-3 Italy
Sunday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Germany	6	14	14
2	Netherlands	6	6	9
3	Hungary	6	-7	6
4	Bosnia-Herzegovina	6	-13	2

Portugal

All competitions

Last Game: Portugal 5-2 Denmark
Sunday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	6	8	14
2	Croatia	6	0	8
3	Scotland	6	-1	7
4	Poland	6	-7	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Germany win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Portugal has a probability of 30.21% and a draw has a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Portugal win is 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.48%).

Result
Germany	Draw	Portugal
45.31%	24.48%	30.21%

Both teams to score 57.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.93%

45.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.58%

67.41%

Germany Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.99%

20.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.8%

52.2%

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.93%

28.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.27%

63.73%

Score Analysis

Germany 45.31%

Portugal 30.21%

Draw 24.48%

Germany	Draw	Portugal
2-1 @ 9.24% 1-0 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 7.27% 3-1 @ 4.95% 3-0 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.57% 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.94% Total : 45.31%	1-1 @ 11.48% 2-2 @ 5.87% 0-0 @ 5.62% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.48%	1-2 @ 7.29% 0-1 @ 7.13% 0-2 @ 4.53% 1-3 @ 3.09% 2-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.78% Total : 30.21%