UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League

Croatia national football team
Nations League | League A
Nov 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Maksimir
Portugal national football team

Croatia
1 - 1
Portugal

Gvardiol (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Felix (33')
Veiga (90'), Silva (90+5')

The Match

Match Report

Croatia come from behind to draw 1-1 with Portugal in Split on Monday evening, ensuring the hosts progress into the Nations League quarter-finals in second place.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Croatia and Portugal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Portugal could line up for Monday's UEFA Nations League clash with Croatia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Croatia

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Scotland 1-0 Croatia
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Portugal

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Portugal 5-1 Poland
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 49.79%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Croatia win was 1-0 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
CroatiaDrawPortugal
25.48% (0.866 0.87)24.72% (-0.523 -0.52)49.79% (-0.344 -0.34)
Both teams to score 53.17% (2.454 2.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.83% (2.818 2.82)49.16% (-2.82 -2.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.77% (2.492 2.49)71.23% (-2.493 -2.49)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.27% (2.276 2.28)33.73% (-2.276 -2.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.61% (2.397 2.4)70.38% (-2.399 -2.4)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.23% (0.98099999999999 0.98)19.76% (-0.982 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.19% (1.566 1.57)51.81% (-1.568 -1.57)
Score Analysis
    Croatia 25.48%
    Portugal 49.79%
    Draw 24.71%
CroatiaDrawPortugal
1-0 @ 7.25% (-0.385 -0.39)
2-1 @ 6.38% (0.253 0.25)
2-0 @ 3.94% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.31% (0.225 0.23)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.233 0.23)
3-0 @ 1.43% (0.099 0.1)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 25.48%
1-1 @ 11.74% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.803 -0.8)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.354 0.35)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.152 0.15)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.71%
0-1 @ 10.8% (-0.94 -0.94)
1-2 @ 9.52% (0.084 0.08)
0-2 @ 8.76% (-0.478 -0.48)
1-3 @ 5.15% (0.198 0.2)
0-3 @ 4.74% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.27 0.27)
1-4 @ 2.09% (0.14 0.14)
0-4 @ 1.92% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.14 0.14)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 49.79%

How you voted: Croatia vs Portugal

Croatia
18.5%
Draw
22.1%
Portugal
59.4%
330
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2024 7.45pm
League A
Portugal
2-1
Croatia
Dalot (7'), Ronaldo (34')
Dalot (41' og.)
Modric (72')
> Match Report
Jun 8, 2024 5.45pm
Friendlies 1
Portugal
1-2
Croatia
Jota (48')
Cancelo (77')
Modric (8' pen.), Budimir (56')
Budimir (40'), Brozovic (59'), Ivanusec (90+1')
> Preview
Nov 17, 2020 7.45pm
League A
Croatia
2-3
Portugal
Kovacic (29', 65')
Rog (23'), Perisic (57')
Rog (51')
Dias (52', 90'), Felix (60')
Ronaldo (54')
> Preview
Sep 5, 2020 7.45pm
League A
Portugal
4-1
Croatia
Cancelo (41'), Jota (58'), Felix (70'), Silva (90+5')
Petkovic (90+1')
Jedvaj (60'), Barisic (71')
> Preview
Mar 30, 2020 6.30pm
Friendlies 1
Croatia
P-P
Portugal
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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