UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Oct 12, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadion Maksimir

Croatia
2 - 1
Scotland

Matanovic (36'), Kramaric (70')
Pasalic (19'), Perisic (39')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Christie (33')
Hanley (8'), Gilmour (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Sports Mole looks at the highlights, man of the match, and stats from Saturday's Nations League clash between Croatia and Scotland.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Croatia and Scotland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Croatia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Croatia 1-0 Poland
Sunday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	2	2	6
2	Poland	2	0	3
3	Croatia	2	0	3
4	Scotland	2	-2	0

Scotland

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Portugal 2-1 Scotland
Sunday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	2	2	6
2	Poland	2	0	3
3	Croatia	2	0	3
4	Scotland	2	-2	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 70.61%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 11.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.12%) and 3-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Scotland win it was 0-1 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Croatia would win this match.

Result
Croatia	Draw	Scotland
70.61% ( 0.61)	18.35% ( -0.14)	11.04% ( -0.47)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Croatia	Draw	Scotland
2-0 @ 13.1% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 12.12% ( 0.33) 3-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.37% Total : 70.6%	1-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.65% Total : 18.35%	0-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.44% Total : 11.04%