Nations League | League A
Sep 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Universitario de Lisboa
Portugal2 - 1Scotland
The Match
Match Report
Cristiano Ronaldo scores his 901st career goal as Portugal fight back from a goal down to defeat Scotland 2-1 in the UEFA Nations League.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Portugal and Scotland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Portugal could line up for Sunday's UEFA Nations League clash with struggling Scotland.
Form, Standings, Stats
Nations League
Last Game: Portugal 2-1 Croatia
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Turkey | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Georgia | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Nations League
Last Game: Scotland 2-3 Poland
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Hungary | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Scotland | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 77.45%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 8.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.51%), while for a Scotland win it was 1-2 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portugal | Draw | Scotland |
77.45% ( -0.56) | 14.01% ( 0.25) | 8.54% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 51.42% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
