MX23RW : Thursday, March 27 03:43:14| >> :600:116214:116214:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Hungary national football team
Nations League | Playoffs A/B | 2nd Leg
Mar 23, 2025 at 5pm UK
Puskas Arena
Turkey national football team

Hungary
0 - 3
Turkey


Fiola (21'), Dardai (52'), Orban (59'), Varga (72')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Calhanoglu (37' pen.), Guler (39'), Bardakci (90')
Yuksek (30'), Akturkoglu (43'), Bardakci (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Hungary and Turkey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hungary

All competitions
Last Game: Turkey 3-1 Hungary
Thursday, March 20 at 5pm in Nations League

Turkey

All competitions
Last Game: Turkey 3-1 Hungary
Thursday, March 20 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Hungary 1-1 Turkey (Turkey win 4-2 on aggregate)

 Turkey will be able to surrender possession to their hosts, and it would not be surprising if they created chances during counter-attacks. Hungary's recent defensive vulnerability makes it difficult to see them keeping a clean sheet, and they could find themselves relegated from League A by the time Sunday's match ends. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Hungary had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Hungary win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.

Result
HungaryDrawTurkey
34.08% (-0.592 -0.59) 25.73% (0.246 0.25) 40.18% (0.343 0.34)
Both teams to score 54.82% (-0.969 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.72% (-1.194 -1.19)49.28% (1.191 1.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.66% (-1.087 -1.09)71.33% (1.083 1.08)
Hungary Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.34% (-0.93600000000001 -0.94)27.65% (0.932 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.8% (-1.216 -1.22)63.2% (1.213 1.21)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.77% (-0.35600000000001 -0.36)24.22% (0.353 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.43% (-0.508 -0.51)58.56% (0.504 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Hungary 34.08%
    Turkey 40.18%
    Draw 25.72%
HungaryDrawTurkey
1-0 @ 8.61% (0.192 0.19)
2-1 @ 7.85% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-0 @ 5.53% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.36% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.37% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34.08%
1-1 @ 12.2% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 6.7% (0.32 0.32)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 9.5% (0.361 0.36)
1-2 @ 8.66% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.73% (0.188 0.19)
1-3 @ 4.09% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.18% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.45% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 40.18%

How you voted: Hungary vs Turkey

Hungary
49.2%
Draw
19.2%
Turkey
31.7%
120
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2025 5pm
Playoffs A/B 1st Leg
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3-1
Hungary
Kokcu (9'), Akturkoglu (69'), Kahveci (73')
Kokcu (41')
Schafer (25')
Schafer (19'), Nagy (64'), Kata (77')
> Preview
Mar 22, 2024 7.45pm
Friendlies 1
Hungary
1-0
Turkey
Szoboszlai (48' pen.)
Nagy (86'), Kleinheisler (90+6')

Akaydin (57')
> Preview
Nov 18, 2020 7.45pm
League B
Hungary
2-0
Turkey
Siger (57'), Varga (90+5')
Cseri (54'), Dibusz (77'), Holender (78'), Gyurcso (90+1')

Tekdemir (48')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2020 7.45pm
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Turkey
0-1
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Yilmaz (37'), Kahveci (90+1')
Szoboszlai (80')
Siger (45'), Fiola (59'), Lang (75')
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