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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Mar 23, 2025 at 8pm UK
Al Saqr Stadium

Austin
2 - 1
San Diego

Vazquez (10'), Gallagher (19')
Pereira (33')
FT(HT: 2-1)
de la Torre (27')
Pilcher (3'), de la Torre (14'), McVey (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS clash between Austin FC and San Diego, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 0-1 Austin
Saturday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: San Diego 1-1 Columbus Crew
Sunday, March 16 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 0-1 San Diego

Even without Lozano, San Diego have shown plenty of quality in the attacking third, and have fared well against some strong attacking units, which is why we predict they will keep their unbeaten run intact. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 96.39%. A draw had a probability of 2.7% and a win for San Diego had a probability of 0.92%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 4-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 5-0 (10.12%) and 3-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.18%), while for a San Diego win it was 1-2 (0.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawSan Diego
96.39% (0.016000000000005 0.02) 2.69% (-0.011 -0.01) 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Both teams to score 41.89% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
90.66% (0.051000000000002 0.05)9.33% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
78.92% (0.091999999999999 0.09)21.07% (-0.090999999999998 -0.09)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
99.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)0.76% (-0.0061 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
95.5% (0.028000000000006 0.03)4.49% (-0.026899999999999 -0.03)
San Diego Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.21% (0.039999999999999 0.04)57.79% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.52% (0.022 0.02)89.48% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 96.37%
    San Diego 0.92%
    Draw 2.69%
Austin FCDrawSan Diego
4-0 @ 10.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 10.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.53% (-0.029 -0.03)
6-0 @ 8.22% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
7-0 @ 5.73% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 5.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
5-1 @ 5.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 5.25% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
6-1 @ 4.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
8-0 @ 3.49% (0.013 0.01)
7-1 @ 3.14% (0.011 0.01)
2-1 @ 2.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 2.15% (-0.014 -0.01)
8-1 @ 1.91% (0.01 0.01)
9-0 @ 1.89% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.52% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-2 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
9-1 @ 1.04% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
10-0 @ 0.92% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 4.69%
Total : 96.37%
1-1 @ 1.18% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 2.69%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 0.92%

How you voted: Austin vs San Diego

Austin FC
18.2%
Draw
22.7%
San Diego
59.1%
22
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati107121512322
2Columbus Crew10631148621
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia106131991019
4Charlotte FCCharlotte FC10613168819
5Inter MiamiInter Miami95311610618
6Nashville SCNashville105141913616
7Orlando City104421812616
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls10433119215
9New York City FCNY City104241213-114
10New England RevolutionNew England941477013
11Chicago Fire103341822-412
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta102351119-89
13DC United102351122-119
14Toronto10145814-67
15CF MontrealMontreal10037414-103

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver107212071323
2Portland TimbersPortland105322015518
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd104421210216
4Colorado RapidsColorado104421414016
5Austin FCAustin10514710-316
6Dallas104331414015
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104241516-114
8Seattle SoundersSeattle103431312113
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake104061115-412
10San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes103162019110
11St Louis City1024478-110
12Houston DynamoHouston102441014-410
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy10037820-123
15San Diego FC00000000


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