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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Mar 23, 2025 at 8pm UK
Al Saqr Stadium

Austin
2 - 1
San Diego

Vazquez (10'), Gallagher (19')
Pereira (33')
FT(HT: 2-1)
de la Torre (27')
Pilcher (3'), de la Torre (14'), McVey (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS clash between Austin FC and San Diego, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 0-1 Austin
Saturday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: San Diego 1-1 Columbus Crew
Sunday, March 16 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 0-1 San Diego

Even without Lozano, San Diego have shown plenty of quality in the attacking third, and have fared well against some strong attacking units, which is why we predict they will keep their unbeaten run intact. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 96.39%. A draw had a probability of 2.7% and a win for San Diego had a probability of 0.92%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 4-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 5-0 (10.12%) and 3-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.18%), while for a San Diego win it was 1-2 (0.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawSan Diego
96.39% (0.016000000000005 0.02) 2.69% (-0.011 -0.01) 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Both teams to score 41.89% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
90.66% (0.051000000000002 0.05)9.33% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
78.92% (0.091999999999999 0.09)21.07% (-0.090999999999998 -0.09)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
99.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)0.76% (-0.0061 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
95.5% (0.028000000000006 0.03)4.49% (-0.026899999999999 -0.03)
San Diego Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.21% (0.039999999999999 0.04)57.79% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.52% (0.022 0.02)89.48% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 96.37%
    San Diego 0.92%
    Draw 2.69%
Austin FCDrawSan Diego
4-0 @ 10.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 10.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.53% (-0.029 -0.03)
6-0 @ 8.22% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
7-0 @ 5.73% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 5.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
5-1 @ 5.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 5.25% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
6-1 @ 4.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
8-0 @ 3.49% (0.013 0.01)
7-1 @ 3.14% (0.011 0.01)
2-1 @ 2.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 2.15% (-0.014 -0.01)
8-1 @ 1.91% (0.01 0.01)
9-0 @ 1.89% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.52% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-2 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
9-1 @ 1.04% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
10-0 @ 0.92% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 4.69%
Total : 96.37%
1-1 @ 1.18% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 2.69%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 0.92%

How you voted: Austin vs San Diego

Austin FC
18.2%
Draw
22.7%
San Diego
59.1%
22
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000


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