
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 84.28%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for San Diego had a probability of 5.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 0-3 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.43%) and 1-3 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.26%), while for a San Diego win it was 2-1 (1.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| San Diego | Draw | St Louis City |
| 5.79% ( | 9.93% ( | 84.28% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.98% ( | 21.02% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60.46% ( | 39.53% ( |
| San Diego Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.14% ( | 42.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.83% ( | 79.17% ( |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.5% ( | 3.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 84.77% ( | 15.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| San Diego | Draw | St Louis City |
| 2-1 @ 1.8% ( 1-0 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 5.79% | 1-1 @ 4.26% ( 2-2 @ 3.03% ( 0-0 @ 1.5% ( 3-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 9.93% | 0-3 @ 9.42% ( 0-2 @ 8.43% ( 1-3 @ 7.98% ( 0-4 @ 7.9% ( 1-2 @ 7.14% ( 1-4 @ 6.69% ( 0-5 @ 5.29% ( 0-1 @ 5.03% ( 1-5 @ 4.49% ( 2-3 @ 3.38% ( 0-6 @ 2.96% ( 2-4 @ 2.83% ( 1-6 @ 2.51% ( 2-5 @ 1.9% ( 0-7 @ 1.42% ( 1-7 @ 1.2% ( 2-6 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 4.66% Total : 84.28% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 26 |
| 3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 26 |
| 4 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 24 |
| 5 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 24 |
| 6 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 22 |
| 7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 22 |
| 9 | Orlando City | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 21 |
| 10 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
| 11 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 21 |
| 12 | DC United | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
| 13 | Toronto | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 25 | -18 | 6 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 28 |
| 2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 28 |
| 3 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 22 |
| 4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 19 |
| 6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 |
| 7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 17 |
| 8 | Dallas | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
| 9 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 17 |
| 10 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 13 |
| 11 | Houston DynamoHouston | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
| 12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 13 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 7 |
| 15 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
