Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Mar 23, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Portugal5 - 2Denmark
The Match
Match Report
Sports Mole looks at the highlights, man of the match, and stats from Sunday's Nations League clash between Portugal and Denmark.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Portugal and Denmark, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Portugal could line up in the second leg of their UEFA Nations League quarter-final against Denmark.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Denmark 1-0 Portugal
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| 2 | Croatia | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 | Scotland | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Poland | 6 | -7 | 4 |
Last Game: Denmark 1-0 Portugal
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain | 6 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Denmark | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Serbia | 6 | -3 | 6 |
| 4 | Switzerland | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 63%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Denmark had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Denmark win it was 0-1 (5.03%).
| Result | ||
| Portugal | Draw | Denmark |
63% ( -0.01) | 20.98% ( 0) | 16.02% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 50.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
