The Match
Match Report
Rasmus Hojlund proves the hero, coming off the bench to secure Denmark's 1-0 victory over Portugal in Thursday's UEFA Nations League quarter-final first leg.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Denmark and Portugal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Portugal could line up for Thursday's UEFA Nations League quarter-final first-leg clash with Denmark.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Serbia 0-0 Denmark
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain | 6 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Denmark | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Serbia | 6 | -3 | 6 |
| 4 | Switzerland | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Denmark had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Denmark win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Denmark | Draw | Portugal |
32.14% ( 0.21) | 25.75% ( -0.02) | 42.11% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 54.19% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
