MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 08:45:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Women's Super League | Gameweek 17
Mar 23, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Villa Park

Aston Villa
0 - 4
Man Utd


Turner (50')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Terland (22', 31'), Clinton (45'), Galton (64')
George (36'), Malard (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Aston Villa Women and Manchester United Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crystal Palace 3-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, March 16 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 Man Utd
Friday, March 14 at 7.15pm in Women's Super League

We said: Aston Villa Women 1-3 Manchester United Women

Man United will be desperate to produce a positive response following their defeat against Liverpool, and we believe that they will have the extra quality required to get the better of a Villa side low on confidence following five consecutive league defeats. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 51.34%. A win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 26.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawManchester United Women
26.3% (-0.197 -0.2) 22.36% (0.176 0.18) 51.34% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 62% (-0.83600000000001 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.13% (-1.018 -1.02)37.87% (1.016 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.87% (-1.098 -1.1)60.12% (1.095 1.1)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.9% (-0.67699999999999 -0.68)27.1% (0.675 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.52% (-0.893 -0.89)62.48% (0.891 0.89)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.04% (-0.355 -0.36)14.96% (0.353 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.62% (-0.681 -0.68)43.38% (0.67899999999999 0.68)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 26.3%
    Manchester United Women 51.34%
    Draw 22.35%
Aston Villa WomenDrawManchester United Women
2-1 @ 6.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.29% (0.157 0.16)
2-0 @ 3.46% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.86% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-0 @ 1.5% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 26.3%
1-1 @ 10.05% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.24% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-0 @ 4.05% (0.195 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.35%
1-2 @ 9.55% (0.048 0.05)
0-1 @ 7.7% (0.277 0.28)
0-2 @ 7.32% (0.175 0.18)
1-3 @ 6.05% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-3 @ 4.63% (0.054 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.95% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-4 @ 2.87% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-4 @ 2.2% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-4 @ 1.88% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-5 @ 1.09% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 51.34%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Man Utd

Aston Villa Women
14.3%
Draw
0.0%
Manchester United Women
85.7%
7
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2024 6.45pm
Gameweek 7
Man Utd
0-0
Aston Villa
George (33'), Bloodworth (51'), Le Tissier (67'), Ferreira (84')
Daly (31')
Jan 28, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 12
Man Utd
2-1
Aston Villa
Parris (7', 33')
Riviere (82')
Daly (60' pen.)
Lehmann (17'), Leon (73'), Patten (90+5')
Oct 1, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 1
Aston Villa
1-2
Man Utd
Daly (76')
Parker (14'), Corsie (26'), Leon (83')
Hanson (74')
Garcia (79'), Deman (90+2')
Ferreira (33'), Toone (43'), Garcia (90+10')
Apr 28, 2023 7.15pm
Gameweek 19
Aston Villa
2-3
Man Utd
Daly (9', 37')
Galton (15'), Parris (62'), Turner (90+3')
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 9
Man Utd
5-0
Aston Villa
Zelem (13'), Galton (28'), Russo (51'), Batlle (76'), Deman (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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