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Women's Super League | Gameweek 16
Mar 16, 2025 at 2pm UK
Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace
3 - 1
Aston Villa

Nouwen (33'), Weerden (53'), Stengel (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Parker (85')
Maritz (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Crystal Palace Women and Aston Villa Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace Women

All competitions
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-1 Liverpool
Sunday, March 2 at 2pm in Women's Super League

Aston Villa Women

All competitions
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-2 Everton
Sunday, March 2 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Crystal Palace Women 1-1 Aston Villa Women

 Palace are still searching for their first-ever WSL home victory, while Villa are yet to win a top-flight away game this season, and with that in mind, we think that the two relegation-threatened sides will play out a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace Women win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 37.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Aston Villa Women win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace Women would win this match.

Result
Crystal Palace WomenDrawAston Villa Women
37.47% (0.12 0.12) 25.17% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 37.35% (-0.132 -0.13)
Both teams to score 57.15% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.55% (-0.052 -0.05)46.44% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.27% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)68.72% (0.045999999999992 0.05)
Crystal Palace Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.63% (0.040999999999997 0.04)24.37% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.22% (0.061 0.06)58.77% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.56% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)24.43% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.13% (-0.132 -0.13)58.86% (0.132 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace Women 37.47%
    Aston Villa Women 37.35%
    Draw 25.17%
Crystal Palace WomenDrawAston Villa Women
1-0 @ 8.41% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.36% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.93% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.94% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.79% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.007 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 37.47%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.95% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 8.39% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 8.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.78% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.009 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 37.35%

Head to Head
Nov 17, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 8
Aston Villa
3-2
Crystal Palace
Patten (40'), Daly (45+5'), Salmon (90+4')
Cato (30'), Blanchard (86')
Woodham (45+8')
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