MX23RW : Wednesday, May 7 21:38:45| >> :60:408:408:
Ayr United
Scottish Premiership Playoffs | Play-offs - Quarter-finals | 2nd Leg
May 9, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Somerset Park
Partick Thistle

Ayr
vs.
Partick

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Scottish Premiership Playoffs clash between Ayr United and Partick Thistle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Partick 0-1 Ayr
Tuesday, May 6 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership Playoffs
Last Game: Partick 0-1 Ayr
Tuesday, May 6 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership Playoffs

We say: Ayr United 2-1 Partick Thistle

Another tightly contested clash is expected following the hard-fought first leg, but as Partick Thistle will be required to place more of an emphasis on attack as they aim to get back into the tie, Ayr will have more space in the final third, and we believe that will help the hosts secure the victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ayr United win with a probability of 51.73%. A draw has a probability of 24.6% and a win for Partick Thistle has a probability of 23.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Partick Thistle win it is 0-1 (7.1%).

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawPartick Thistle
51.73% (-0.216 -0.22) 24.55% (0.266 0.27) 23.71% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.87% (-0.887 -0.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50% (-1.143 -1.14)49.99% (1.139 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.02% (-1.028 -1.03)71.97% (1.024 1.02)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.68% (-0.52800000000001 -0.53)19.31% (0.524 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.93% (-0.872 -0.87)51.06% (0.869 0.87)
Partick Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.28% (-0.675 -0.67)35.71% (0.671 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.51% (-0.701 -0.7)72.48% (0.697 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 51.73%
    Partick Thistle 23.71%
    Draw 24.54%
Ayr UnitedDrawPartick Thistle
1-0 @ 11.34% (0.34 0.34)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.33% (0.123 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.115 -0.11)
3-0 @ 5.11% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.11 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.16% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.1% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 3%
Total : 51.73%
1-1 @ 11.67% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.313 0.31)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.54%
0-1 @ 7.1% (0.198 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.66% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 23.71%

Who will win Friday's Scottish Premiership Playoffs clash between Ayr and Partick?

Ayr United
Draw
Partick Thistle
Ayr United
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Partick Thistle
50.0%
2
Head to Head
May 6, 2025 7.45pm
Play-offs - Quarter-finals 1st Leg
Partick
0-1
Ayr

Fitzpatrick (7'), Turner (24'), Graham (45+4'), Graham (45+4'), Crawford (45'), O'Reilly (83')
Murphy (55')
Oakley (19'), Agbaire (78'), Henderson (90+2'), Clarke (90+3')
Mar 15, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 29
Partick
2-0
Ayr
Chalmers (19'), McBeth (27')
Crawford (12'), Turner (36'), Reid (43'), Bannigan (81'), McBeth (85')

McKinnon (51')
Jan 25, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 22
Ayr
2-1
Partick
Oakley (19', 36')
Oakley (3')
McAllister (76')
Milne (87')
Crawford (7'), Bannigan (72')
Dec 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
Partick
1-0
Ayr
Turner (82' pen.)

Musonda (31'), Devlin (39'), Stanger (54'), Rus (71'), Oakley (88')
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 5
Ayr
1-1
Partick
Dowds (25' pen.)
Oakley (35'), Howley (45+1'), Stanger (90+5')
Milne (74')
O'Reilly (29'), Crawford (41'), McBeth (44')
rhs 2.0
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