Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 1-0 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ayr United in this match.