MX23RW : Wednesday, May 7 02:38:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Livingston logo
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ayr United
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 31
Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
Dunfermline Athletic

Ayr
3 - 0
Dunfermline

McLennan (45'), Murphy (68'), Walker (90+5')
McAllister (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Chalmers (81')
Wanyama (84')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Dunfermline Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ayr 1-1 Hamilton
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Raith Rovers 2-0 Dunfermline
Friday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 19.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawDunfermline Athletic
57.55% (-0.485 -0.48) 23.26% (0.197 0.2) 19.19% (0.285 0.29)
Both teams to score 49.63% (-0.12 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.15% (-0.409 -0.41)49.84% (0.40600000000001 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.16% (-0.365 -0.36)71.84% (0.363 0.36)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.93% (-0.318 -0.32)17.07% (0.315 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.75% (-0.562 -0.56)47.25% (0.559 0.56)
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.85% (0.082000000000001 0.08)40.15% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.21% (0.074999999999999 0.07)76.79% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 57.53%
    Dunfermline Athletic 19.19%
    Draw 23.25%
Ayr UnitedDrawDunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 12.11% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 10.7% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.31% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.76% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.79% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 57.53%
1-1 @ 11.05% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.85% (0.113 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.46%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 23.25%
0-1 @ 6.25% (0.116 0.12)
1-2 @ 5.05% (0.053 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.85% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 19.19%

Head to Head
Jan 14, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Dunfermline
0-2
Ayr

Otoo (58')
Henderson (61'), Oakley (71')
Dempsey (50'), Agbaire (90')
Nov 23, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 15
Ayr
1-0
Dunfermline
Henderson (67')
Rus (41'), Devlin (65'), Dempsey (77')

Ritchie-Hosler (28'), Clay (36'), Comrie (62'), Otoo (70')
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Dunfermline
1-1
Ayr
Otoo (15')
Comrie (21'), Wighton (90+1')
Watret (22')
Dempsey (24'), McAllister (35'), Walker (70')
May 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Ayr
3-3
Dunfermline
McKenzie (21'), McRoberts (68'), Dowds (73')
Sanders (70')
Kane (35', 42'), Edwards (45')
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
Dunfermline
2-0
Ayr
Hamilton (42'), Kane (45+1')
Welch-Hayes (74')

Musonda (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FalkirkFalkirk36227772333973
2Livingston362010655272870
3Ayr UnitedAyr36189957391863
4Partick ThistlePartick361510114338555
5Raith Rovers36158134743453
6Greenock MortonMorton361212124248-648
7Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline3698192843-1535
8Queen's ParkQueen's Park3698193655-1935
9AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians3678213462-2829
10Hamilton AcademicalHamilton36106203864-2621


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