Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 19.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.