Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 1-0 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.