

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Partick Thistle |
| 39.79% ( | 25.1% ( | 35.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.19% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.69% ( | 46.31% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.4% ( | 68.6% ( |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.9% ( | 23.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.05% ( | 56.95% ( |
| Partick Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.37% ( | 25.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.47% ( | 60.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Partick Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 8.68% ( 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 2-0 @ 6.36% ( 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 4-2 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.16% Total : 39.79% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0-0 @ 5.92% ( 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 3-3 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0-2 @ 5.49% ( 1-3 @ 3.65% ( 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 2-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.1% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 63 |
| 2 | Livingston | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 55 |
| 3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 54 |
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 44 |
| 5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 37 |
| 6 | Raith Rovers | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 37 |
| 7 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 |
| 8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 28 |
| 9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 26 | 56 | -30 | 21 |
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