

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Chesterfield | 
| 48.61% ( | 24.17% ( | 27.21% ( | 
| Both teams to score 56.49% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.49% ( | 45.5% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.16% ( | 67.83% ( | 
| Notts County Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 81.19% ( | 18.81% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.76% ( | 50.23% ( | 
| Chesterfield Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.57% ( | 30.42% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.37% ( | 66.62% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Notts County | Draw | Chesterfield | 
| 1-0 @ 9.56% ( 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 2-0 @ 7.99% 3-1 @ 5.29% ( 3-0 @ 4.45% ( 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 4-2 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 3.28% Total : 48.62%  | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 3-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.17%  | 0-1 @ 6.81% ( 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0-2 @ 4.05% ( 1-3 @ 2.69% ( 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0-3 @ 1.61% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 27.21%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 73 | 50 | 23 | 84 | 
| P | Port Vale | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 80 | 
| P | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 64 | 45 | 19 | 78 | 
| 4 | Walsall | 46 | 21 | 14 | 11 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 | 
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 73 | 
| 6 | Notts County | 46 | 20 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 49 | 19 | 72 | 
| 7 | Chesterfield | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 70 | 
| 8 | Salford City | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 69 | 
| 9 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 68 | 
| 10 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 16 | 19 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 67 | 
| 11 | Bromley | 46 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 64 | 59 | 5 | 66 | 
| 12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 71 | 63 | 8 | 62 | 
| 13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 62 | 
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 60 | 
| 15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 60 | 
| 16 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 59 | 
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 58 | 
| 18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 53 | 
| 19 | MK Dons | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 52 | 
| 20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 51 | 
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 53 | 69 | -16 | 50 | 
| 22 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 52 | 76 | -24 | 49 | 
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 42 | 
| R | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 36 | 
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
