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J1 League | Gameweek 17
May 17, 2025 at 6am UK
EDION Stadium

Hiroshima
2 - 1
Tokyo Verdy

Germain (87'), Kawabe (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kimura (77' pen.)
Matsuhashi (63')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Tokyo Verdy.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gamba Osaka 0-1 Hiroshima
Sunday, May 11 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 0-2 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, May 11 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 16.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Tokyo Verdy win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawTokyo Verdy
59.24% (0.023999999999994 0.02) 24.17% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 16.59% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 42.58% (-0.116 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.17% (-0.113 -0.11)56.83% (0.116 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.24% (-0.09 -0.09)77.76% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.97% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)19.03% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.4% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)50.6% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Tokyo Verdy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.58% (-0.12 -0.12)47.42% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.2% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)82.8% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 59.24%
    Tokyo Verdy 16.59%
    Draw 24.17%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawTokyo Verdy
1-0 @ 14.97% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 12.42% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.87% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.85%
4-1 @ 2.13% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 59.24%
1-1 @ 11.17%
0-0 @ 9.02% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 24.17%
0-1 @ 6.73% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.17% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.51% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 16.59%

Head to Head
Aug 7, 2024 11am
Gameweek 25
Tokyo Verdy
0-1
Hiroshima
Sasaki (78')
Vieira (89')
Jun 15, 2024 10.30am
Gameweek 18
Hiroshima
4-1
Tokyo Verdy
Kato (2'), Soteriou (47', 62'), Vieira (81')
Sasaki (32'), Nakano (34')
Kimura (90+4')
Miki (22'), Yamada (45+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers19131529151440
2Kyoto Sanga2010463022834
3Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa219752620634
4Kashiwa ReysolReysol199732217534
5Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima1810262014632
6Vissel KobeVissel Kobe189362319430
7Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki1878330191129
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo208573026429
9Shimizu S-PulseShimizu S-Pulse197482626025
10Machida Zelvia197482223-125
11Fagiano OkayamaOkayama196671617-124
12Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka197392327-424
13Tokyo Verdy196671318-524
14Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus196582426-223
15Avispa Fukuoka196581519-423
16Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare196491423-922
17Yokohama FCYokohama FC1954101320-719
18FC Tokyo185491726-919
19Albirex Niigata183781927-816
20Yokohama F MarinosYokohama1835101826-814


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