J1 League | Gameweek 16
May 11, 2025 at 7am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

Tokyo Verdy
0 - 2
Shonan Bellmare


Morita (54'), Morita (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Okuno (62', 62'), Phellype (90+4', 90+4')
Fukuda (88'), Fukuda (88')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Tokyo Verdy and Shonan Bellmare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tokyo Verdy

All competitions
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 2-0 Yokohama FC
Tuesday, May 6 at 8am in J1 League

Shonan Bellmare

All competitions
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Hiroshima
Wednesday, May 7 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tokyo Verdy win with a probability of 40%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tokyo Verdy win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Tokyo VerdyDrawShonan Bellmare
40% (-0.189 -0.19)27.98% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)32.01% (0.266 0.27)
Both teams to score 47.28% (0.302 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.36% (0.34 0.34)58.64% (-0.342 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.81% (0.263 0.26)79.19% (-0.26599999999999 -0.27)
Tokyo Verdy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.34% (0.055999999999997 0.06)28.66% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.53% (0.07 0.07)64.47% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.27% (0.36799999999999 0.37)33.72% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.61% (0.398 0.4)70.38% (-0.401 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Tokyo Verdy 39.99%
    Shonan Bellmare 32.01%
    Draw 27.98%
Tokyo VerdyDrawShonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 12.07% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.55% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.42% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.14% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 39.99%
1-1 @ 13.12% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.67% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.98%
0-1 @ 10.5% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.14% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.71% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.59% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.07% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 32.01%

Head to Head
Oct 6, 2024 8am
Gameweek 33
Tokyo Verdy
0-2
Shonan Bellmare
Suzuki (32'), Suzuki (51')
Fukuda (64'), Okuno (66')
Apr 3, 2024 11am
Gameweek 6
Shonan Bellmare
1-2
Tokyo Verdy
Lukian (15')
Fukuda (32'), Tanaka (40'), Okuno (73')
Taniguchi (75'), Yamami (86')