Chinese Super League | Gameweek 14 | 2nd Leg
Jun 14, 2025 at 12pm UK
Workers' Stadium

Beijing Guoan
2 - 1
Changchun

Xizhe (18'), Cao (25')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Long (88')
Sunzu (37'), Xu (39'), Shenyuan (70'), Bodnar (90+1'), Wang (90+1')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League playoffs Regular Season clash between Beijing Guoan and Changchun Yatai.

Form, Standings, Stats

Beijing Guoan

All competitions
Last Game: Qingdao Hainiu 1-1 Beijing Guoan
Saturday, May 17 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Changchun Yatai

All competitions
Last Game: Changchun 1-2 Tianjin Jinmen
Saturday, May 17 at 12pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 67.87%. A draw has a probability of 18% and a win for Changchun Yatai has a probability of 14.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win is 2-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.68%) and 1-0 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it is 1-2 (4.04%).

Result
Beijing GuoanDrawChangchun Yatai
67.87% (-0.842 -0.84)17.96% (0.408 0.41)14.17% (0.433 0.43)
Both teams to score 56.63% (-0.312 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.78% (-0.97 -0.97)35.21% (0.967 0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.77% (-1.085 -1.09)57.22% (1.083 1.08)
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.49% (-0.45099999999999 -0.45)9.5% (0.4489 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.13% (-1.07 -1.07)31.87% (1.067 1.07)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.58% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)37.41% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.8% (-0.035 -0.04)74.2% (0.032999999999987 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Beijing Guoan 67.87%
    Changchun Yatai 14.17%
    Draw 17.96%
Beijing GuoanDrawChangchun Yatai
2-0 @ 9.85% (0.084 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.074 0.07)
1-0 @ 8.37% (0.239 0.24)
3-0 @ 7.73% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-1 @ 7.6% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-0 @ 4.55% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-1 @ 4.47% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-2 @ 3.73% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.2% (-0.076 -0.08)
5-0 @ 2.14% (-0.115 -0.12)
5-1 @ 2.1% (-0.116 -0.12)
5-2 @ 1.03% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 4.43%
Total : 67.87%
1-1 @ 8.23% (0.228 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.032 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.56% (0.172 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 17.96%
1-2 @ 4.04% (0.108 0.11)
0-1 @ 3.5% (0.166 0.17)
0-2 @ 1.72% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.33% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 14.17%

Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 12.35pm
Gameweek 27
Beijing Guoan
8-1
Changchun
Cao (8'), Liangming (25'), Abreu (33' pen., 41', 50' pen.), Hao (72'), Ziming (89', 90+4')
Soares (14')
Beric (44')
Rosic (13'), Mincheng (17'), Abdugheni (71')
May 17, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 12
Changchun
3-2
Beijing Guoan
Serginho (4'), Guilherme (67'), Zulj (90+9' pen.)
Guilherme (74')
Abreu (30', 90+3')
Liangming (76'), Yennaris (80'), Wang (90+3')
Sep 22, 2023 12.35pm
Gameweek 26
Changchun
1-1
Beijing Guoan
Zulj (34')
Zhang (12'), Teng (17'), Mincheng (90+2')
Abreu (13')
Soares (13'), Wang (47'), Abreu (90'), Naibijiang (90+9')
Soares (0')
Jun 2, 2023 12.35pm
Gameweek 11
Beijing Guoan
4-3
Changchun
Souza (29', 41'), Yang (66'), Kang (87')
Dabao (90+6')
Leonardo (22', 49'), Long (65')
Zulj (75'), Wu (90+4')
Dec 15, 2022 7am
Gameweek 31
Beijing Guoan
3-0
Changchun
Ziming (31', 51'), Zhang (63' pen.)