Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4 | 2nd Leg
Jun 13, 2025 at 11pm UK
Parque Osvaldo Roberto

Racing
vs.
Nacional

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Racing de Montevideo and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Miramar Misiones 0-1 Racing
Sunday, June 1 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: Juventud vs. Racing
Sunday, June 8 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Torque 1-2 Nacional
Sunday, June 1 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: Nacional vs. Boston River
Sunday, June 8 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 45.32%. A draw has a probability of 27.5% and a win for Racing de Montevideo has a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.86%) and 1-2 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it is 1-0 (9.48%).

Result
Racing de MontevideoDrawNacional
27.2% (-0.293 -0.29)27.47% (0.070999999999998 0.07)45.32% (0.22 0.22)
Both teams to score 46.47% (-0.379 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.43% (-0.392 -0.39)58.56% (0.392 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.87% (-0.307 -0.31)79.13% (0.30499999999999 0.3)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.61% (-0.456 -0.46)37.39% (0.45500000000001 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.82% (-0.453 -0.45)74.17% (0.452 0.45)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.22% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)25.78% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.27% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)60.72% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Racing de Montevideo 27.2%
    Nacional 45.32%
    Draw 27.47%
Racing de MontevideoDrawNacional
1-0 @ 9.48% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.32% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.66% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.07% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.53% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.41% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 27.2%
1-1 @ 12.85% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.64% (0.143 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 13.06% (0.17 0.17)
0-2 @ 8.86% (0.097 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.36% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 45.32%

Head to Head
Mar 16, 2025 10.30pm
Gameweek 6
Racing
0-1
Nacional

Monzon (5'), Rodriguez (60'), Da Silva (69')
Herazo (41')
Rodriguez (80')
Nov 8, 2024 11.30pm
Gameweek 11
Racing
0-2
Nacional

Rodriguez (7'), Bueno (26'), Cotugno (77'), Varela (80'), Bacchia (82'), Magallanes (87')
Sanabria (42'), Recoba (81')
Santander (28'), Polenta (55')
May 4, 2024 12am
Gameweek 11
Nacional
4-2
Racing
Galeano (8'), Bentancourt (43' og.), Izquierdo (79'), Santander (90+1' pen.)
Castro (35'), Oliva (57'), Izquierdo (68'), Veron (79')
Veron (12'), Mederos (87')
Quinonez (30'), Magallanes (47'), Veron (71'), Varela (86')
Magallanes (89')
Oct 6, 2023 12am
Gameweek 4
Racing
1-2
Nacional
Rivero (39' pen.)
Vega (42'), Mejia (58'), Varela (81')
Vega (71')
Martinez (25', 57')
Polenta (39'), Ginella (52')
Polenta (63')
Jul 9, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 5
Racing
2-2
Nacional
Veron (45'), Bueno (65')
De Los Santos (26'), Veron (62'), Gorocito (70')
Monzeglio (26'), Rodriguez (52')
Martinez (26'), Lozano (28'), Polenta (90+3'), Rodriguez (90'), Lozano (90+9'), Rodriguez (90+6')
Rodriguez (90+8')