Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Apr 18, 2025 at 8pm UK
Parque Luis Mendez Piana

Miramar Misiones
1 - 3
Nacional

Lopez Quinteros (44')
Rodriguez Herrera (47'), Sosa (64'), Yepez (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lopez (38'), Martin Villalba Jaume (48'), Petit Abad (83')
Oliva (45'), Martin Villalba Jaume (47'), Coates (84'), Lopez (90+5'), Rodriguez (90')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Miramar Misiones and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Miramar Misiones

All competitions
Last Game: Penarol 4-2 Miramar Misiones
Saturday, April 12 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Danubio
Sunday, April 13 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 61.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Miramar Misiones had a probability of 15.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.83%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Miramar Misiones win it was 1-0 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Miramar MisionesDrawNacional
15.35% (-1.028 -1.03)23.31% (-0.654 -0.65)61.34% (1.676 1.68)
Both teams to score 42.4% (-0.315 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.34% (0.755 0.75)55.65% (-0.75899999999999 -0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.19% (0.612 0.61)76.81% (-0.616 -0.62)
Miramar Misiones Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.6% (-0.954 -0.95)48.4% (0.95 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.48% (-0.702 -0.7)83.52% (0.697 0.7)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.18% (0.89099999999999 0.89)17.82% (-0.894 -0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.44% (1.518 1.52)48.55% (-1.522 -1.52)
Score Analysis
    Miramar Misiones 15.35%
    Nacional 61.33%
    Draw 23.3%
Miramar MisionesDrawNacional
1-0 @ 6.26% (-0.362 -0.36)
2-1 @ 3.92% (-0.218 -0.22)
2-0 @ 2.27% (-0.196 -0.2)
3-1 @ 0.95% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 15.35%
1-1 @ 10.79% (-0.3 -0.3)
0-0 @ 8.62% (-0.256 -0.26)
2-2 @ 3.38% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 23.3%
0-1 @ 14.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 12.83% (0.36 0.36)
1-2 @ 9.31% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 7.38% (0.411 0.41)
1-3 @ 5.35% (0.16 0.16)
0-4 @ 3.18% (0.262 0.26)
1-4 @ 2.31% (0.133 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.006 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.1% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 61.33%

Head to Head
Oct 17, 2024 11.30pm
Gameweek 8
Nacional
5-1
Miramar Misiones
Lopez (2'), Zabala (55'), Bentancourt (58'), Santander (75' pen.), Coates (79')
Bentancourt (45+3'), Sanabria (70')
Lombardi (29')
Lombardi (39'), Rodriguez (43'), Olivera (68')
Jul 20, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 6
Nacional
4-0
Miramar Misiones
Bentancourt (22' pen.), Galeano (47'), Castro (69'), Recoba (73')
Castro (30'), Sanabria (84'), Cabrera (85')

Cabrera (85')
Apr 17, 2024 12.30am
Gameweek 8
Miramar Misiones
1-2
Nacional
Machado (36')
Vazquez (51'), Polenta (88')
Carneiro (41'), Santander (85')
Mejia (76'), Polenta (87')