Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11

Apr 12, 2025 at 10.30pm UK

Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Penarol
4 - 2
Miramar Misiones

Fernandez (5'), Diana (35' og.), Baez (66'), Machado (85')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Fernandez (2'), Lopez Quinteros (90+2')
Diana (34'), Pereira (69'), Fernandez (77')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Miramar Misiones.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions

Uruguayan Primera Division

Last Game: Penarol 2-0 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Wednesday, April 9 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Miramar Misiones

All competitions

Last Game: Miramar Misiones 0-1 Torque
Monday, April 7 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 65.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Miramar Misiones had a probability of 12.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.66%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Miramar Misiones win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Penarol	Draw	Miramar Misiones
65.58% ( -0.01)	22.36% ( 0)	12.07% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 37.25% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.93%

58.07% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.26% (

78.74% (

-0)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.81% (

-0)

17.19% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.53% (

-0)

47.47% (

Miramar Misiones Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.99% (

0.01)

55.01% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.11% (

0.01)

87.89% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Penarol 65.58%

Miramar Misiones 12.07%

Draw 22.36%

Penarol	Draw	Miramar Misiones
1-0 @ 16.65% 2-0 @ 14.66% 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.6% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.14% 4-0 @ 3.79% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 1.54% 5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 65.58%	1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 0-0 @ 9.46% 2-2 @ 2.62% ( 0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.36%	0-1 @ 5.65% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.97% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.69% ( 0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 12.07%