Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5 | 2nd Leg
Jun 16, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
vs.
Juventud

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Juventud.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torque 1-2 Nacional
Sunday, June 1 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: Nacional vs. Boston River
Sunday, June 8 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Juventud 3-2 Torque
Saturday, May 24 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: Boston River vs. Juventud
Monday, June 2 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 58.78%. A draw has a probability of 23.4% and a win for Juventud has a probability of 17.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Juventud win it is 0-1 (6.37%).

Result
NacionalDrawJuventud
58.78%23.43%17.78%
Both teams to score 46.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.52%52.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.85%74.15%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.42%17.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.85%48.15%
Juventud Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.67%43.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.43%79.57%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 58.78%
    Juventud 17.78%
    Draw 23.43%
NacionalDrawJuventud
1-0 @ 13.24%
2-0 @ 11.51%
2-1 @ 9.63%
3-0 @ 6.67%
3-1 @ 5.58%
4-0 @ 2.9%
4-1 @ 2.42%
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-2 @ 1.01%
5-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 58.78%
1-1 @ 11.07%
0-0 @ 7.62%
2-2 @ 4.03%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 23.43%
0-1 @ 6.37%
1-2 @ 4.63%
0-2 @ 2.66%
1-3 @ 1.29%
2-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 17.78%

Head to Head
Mar 30, 2025 7pm
Gameweek 9
Nacional
1-2
Juventud
Morales (62' og.)
Mejia (78'), Lopez (84')
Polenta (4')
Rodriguez (20'), Chagas (90+4')
David Morosini Pereira (61'), Chagas (90+3')
Dec 5, 2019 11.30pm
Juventud
0-3
Nacional

Munoz (6'), Mathias Bogado (47')
Bergessio (48' pen., 87'), Rodriguez (84')
Carballo (45')
Aug 25, 2019 7pm
Juventud
0-2
Nacional
Bergessio (43'), Cardacio (93')
Bergessio (54'), Carvalho (88')
Jun 1, 2019 12am
Gameweek 15
Nacional
1-0
Juventud
Bergessio (84')
Zunino (42'), Cotugno (72'), Cardacio (91')

Navarro (89')