Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Apr 14, 2025 at 12am UK
Estadio Luis Franzini

River Plate
1 - 0
Juventud

Alessio Lopez Pose (71', 71')
Ramos (24'), Ramos (24'), Cabrera (31'), Cabrera (31'), Cabrera (64'), Cabrera (64'), Quintana (81'), Quintana (81'), Almeida (90+7'), Almeida (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gauthier Pereira Brasil (70'), Gauthier Pereira Brasil (70'), Sosa (90+1'), Sosa (90+1')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Juventud.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 0-0 River Plate
Sunday, April 6 at 6.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Juventud 4-1 Boston River
Saturday, April 5 at 5pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventud win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventud win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
River PlateDrawJuventud
34.31% (-0.978 -0.98)26.67% (0.145 0.15)39.01% (0.828 0.83)
Both teams to score 51.79% (-0.61 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.81% (-0.716 -0.72)53.18% (0.711 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.25% (-0.611 -0.61)74.75% (0.60599999999999 0.61)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.58% (-0.959 -0.96)29.41% (0.954 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.59% (-1.188 -1.19)65.4% (1.182 1.18)
Juventud Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.37% (0.127 0.13)26.63% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13% (0.171 0.17)61.86% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 34.31%
    Juventud 39.01%
    Draw 26.67%
River PlateDrawJuventud
1-0 @ 9.58% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.76% (-0.168 -0.17)
2-0 @ 5.86% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-1 @ 3.17% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 34.31%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.83% (0.217 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 10.36% (0.33 0.33)
1-2 @ 8.39% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.86% (0.239 0.24)
1-3 @ 3.7% (0.047 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.02% (0.116 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.22% (0.02 0.02)
0-4 @ 1% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 39.01%

Head to Head
Nov 27, 2019 8pm
River Plate
1-0
Juventud
Olivera (31')
Ospitaleche (42')

Pintado (62'), Alberti (75')
Aug 10, 2019 7pm
Juventud
1-2
River Plate
Alberti (27')
Arezo (67'), Urruti (73')
Arezo (48')
May 25, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 14
Juventud
4-1
River Plate
Vinas (29'), Varela (41', 86'), Garcia (68')
Bogado (16'), Alberti (61'), Pintado (75')
Alonso (73')
Silva (34'), Vicente (35'), da Luz (79')
Fernandez (76')