Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Mar 29, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini

River Plate
1 - 2
Plaza Colonia

Barone (90+5')
Cruz De los Santos (45+1'), Alessio Lopez Pose (57'), Mederos (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Barros (74'), Carrizo (84')
Gabriel Redin Morales (23'), Lorenzi Gomez (43'), Barros (69')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Plaza Colonia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing 1-0 River Plate
Wednesday, March 26 at 5pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 0-1 Boston River
Wednesday, March 26 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plaza Colonia would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawPlaza Colonia
31.89% (0.101 0.1)28.59% (0.026 0.03)39.52% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 45.54% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.21% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)60.78% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.17% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)80.83% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.04% (0.037999999999997 0.04)34.95% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.3% (0.038999999999998 0.04)71.7% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Plaza Colonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01% (-0.107 -0.11)29.98% (0.107 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.9% (-0.129 -0.13)66.1% (0.129 0.13)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 31.88%
    Plaza Colonia 39.52%
    Draw 28.58%
River PlateDrawPlaza Colonia
1-0 @ 11.01% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.97% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.79% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.03% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 31.88%
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 10.48% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.58%
0-1 @ 12.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.6% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 39.52%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 2
Plaza Colonia
0-1
River Plate

Greising (2'), Perez (20'), Milesi (72'), Cosentino (81')
Viera (59')
Vera (13'), Formento (81')
Feb 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 2
River Plate
2-0
Plaza Colonia
Rivero (27'), Dos Santos (88')
Aug 6, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
River Plate
2-0
Plaza Colonia
Borbas (23'), Urreta (54')
Pereira (17'), Borbas (27')

Mathias Bogado (32'), Greising (56'), Ayala (61')
Mathias Bogado (90+4')
Jul 15, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 5
Plaza Colonia
0-0
River Plate
Perez (23')
Montiel (16'), Alfonso (49'), Herrera (89')
Feb 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 2
Plaza Colonia
0-1
River Plate

Dibble (11'), Vitao (43'), Heredia (79')
Vitao (81')
Montiel (67')
Napoli (16'), Chopitea (55'), Pereira (77'), Lopez (90+3')