Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3 | 2nd Leg
Jun 8, 2025 at 12am UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Defensor

Penarol
0 - 0
Defensor

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Defensor Sporting.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 1-1 Penarol
Sunday, June 1 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Defensor Sporting

All competitions
Last Game: River Plate 1-2 Defensor
Sunday, June 1 at 3pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 52.61%. A draw has a probability of 26.6% and a win for Defensor Sporting has a probability of 20.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Defensor Sporting win it is 0-1 (8.33%).

Result
PenarolDrawDefensor Sporting
52.61% (-0.261 -0.26)26.61% (0.192 0.19)20.78% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
Both teams to score 42.73% (-0.389 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.77% (-0.558 -0.56)60.23% (0.56 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.59% (-0.423 -0.42)80.41% (0.426 0.43)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.9% (-0.352 -0.35)23.1% (0.354 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.05% (-0.519 -0.52)56.95% (0.521 0.52)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.56% (-0.25 -0.25)44.43% (0.252 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.52% (-0.204 -0.2)80.48% (0.205 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 52.61%
    Defensor Sporting 20.78%
    Draw 26.6%
PenarolDrawDefensor Sporting
1-0 @ 15.04% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 11.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 5.38% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.97% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 52.61%
1-1 @ 12.2% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.26% (0.21 0.21)
2-2 @ 3.63% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 8.33% (0.117 0.12)
1-2 @ 4.95% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.38% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.34% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 20.78%

Who will win Saturday's Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Defensor?

Penarol
Draw
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Defensor Sporting
0.0%
0
Head to Head
May 3, 2025 1.30am
Gameweek 14
Defensor
0-1
Penarol

Bautista Viacava Caviglia (34'), Alvarez (82')
Fernandez (77')
Fernandez (24')
Coelho (9')
Nov 17, 2024 9.30pm
Gameweek 13
Penarol
2-0
Defensor
Fernandez (45+5'), Medina (90+3')
Sequeira (36')

Alvarez (34'), De Los Santos (36'), Cadenazzi (45+1'), Biscayzacu Vazquez (51'), Garcia (90+2')
De Los Santos (36')
Jul 27, 2024 9.30pm
Gameweek 7
Penarol
1-0
Defensor
Babi (90+1')
Ramirez (36'), Fernandez (45+1')

Duarte (86'), De Los Santos (90+3'), Dufour (90+3'), Bernal (90+7')
May 18, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 13
Defensor
0-2
Penarol

De Los Santos (28'), Cabrera (71'), Bernal (89')
Silvera (23'), Acosta (90+6')
Gonzalez (45+1'), Olivera (61')
Oct 7, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 4
Penarol
2-1
Defensor
Gonzalez (45+1'), Rodriguez (68' pen.)
Gonzalez (22')
Navarro (29' pen.)
Pintado (78')