Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Jul 27, 2024 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Defensor

Penarol
1 - 0
Defensor

Babi (90+1')
Ramirez (36'), Fernandez (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Duarte (11')
Duarte (86'), De Los Santos (90+3'), Dufour (90+3'), Bernal (90+7')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Defensor Sporting.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Last Game: Penarol 2-0 Fenix
Sunday, July 21 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Defensor Sporting

All competitions
Last Game: Defensor 0-1 River Plate
Friday, July 19 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 36.36%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.42%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 (12.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Penarol in this match.

Result
PenarolDrawDefensor Sporting
36.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)29.38% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)34.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 43.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.87% (0.0039999999999978 0)63.13% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.44% (0.0019999999999989 0)82.56% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.87% (0.0049999999999955 0)33.13% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.27% (0.004999999999999 0)69.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.46%34.53% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.75% (0.0019999999999989 0)71.25% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 36.35%
    Defensor Sporting 34.25%
    Draw 29.37%
PenarolDrawDefensor Sporting
1-0 @ 12.63%
2-1 @ 7.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.57%
3-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 36.35%
1-1 @ 13.43%
0-0 @ 11.44%
2-2 @ 3.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 29.37%
0-1 @ 12.16%
1-2 @ 7.14%
0-2 @ 6.47% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.53%
0-3 @ 2.29%
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 34.25%

Head to Head
May 18, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 13
Defensor
0-2
Penarol

De Los Santos (28'), Cabrera (71'), Bernal (89')
Silvera (23'), Acosta (90+6')
Gonzalez (45+1'), Olivera (61')
Oct 7, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 4
Penarol
2-1
Defensor
Gonzalez (45+1'), Rodriguez (68' pen.)
Gonzalez (22')
Navarro (29' pen.)
Pintado (78')
Jul 23, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 7
Penarol
2-1
Defensor
Arezo (69'), Hernandez (88')
Rak (48'), Rodriguez (90+3')
Balboa (53')
Freitas (11')
Feb 25, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 4
Defensor
2-2
Penarol
Balboa (11'), Navarro (90+9' pen.)
Arezo (41'), Rossi (74' og.)
Aug 7, 2022 10.30pm
Gameweek 2
Defensor
2-3
Penarol
Balboa (61'), Mallo (68')
Rabino (43'), Sant'Anna (55')
Mendez (5'), Laquintana (48'), Ramos (71')
Arias (45+1'), Ramos (54'), Laquintana (57'), Viatri (67')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group 1
1Defensor SportingDefensor22005326
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers22003126
3PenarolPenarol21103124
4LiverpoolLiverpool20201102
5Cerro Largo201134-11
6CerroCerro201112-11
7Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia201113-21
8River PlateRiver Plate200213-20
Group 2
1Racing de MontevideoRacing22003036
2DanubioDanubio22003036
3NacionalNacional22003126
4Juventud21015503
5Boston RiverBoston River210134-13
6Montevideo City TorqueTorque200235-20
7ProgresoProgreso200202-20
8Miramar Misiones200203-30
 
Apertura
1LiverpoolLiverpool159512291332
2NacionalNacional1594235161931
3Juventud159332315830
4PenarolPenarol158342117427
5Defensor SportingDefensor157351712524
6Racing de MontevideoRacing156541410423
7Boston RiverBoston River156451617-122
8Cerro Largo155641516-121
9Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia155461313019
10Montevideo City TorqueTorque154561622-617
11ProgresoProgreso153661727-1015
12CerroCerro153661320-714
13Montevideo WanderersWanderers152671217-512
14DanubioDanubio151951217-512
15Miramar Misiones153391624-812
16River PlateRiver Plate152491020-1010
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table


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