Defensor
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 13
May 18, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini
Penarol

Defensor
0 - 2
Penarol


De Los Santos (28'), Cabrera (71'), Bernal (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Silvera (23'), Acosta (90+6')
Gonzalez (45+1'), Olivera (61')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensor Sporting

All competitions
Last Game: Progreso 1-4 Defensor
Sunday, May 12 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 2-0 Atletico Mineiro
Tuesday, May 14 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Defensor SportingDrawPenarol
33.14% (-1.182 -1.18)27.53% (0.282 0.28)39.33% (0.9 0.9)
Both teams to score 48.9% (-1.083 -1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.27% (-1.262 -1.26)56.73% (1.262 1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.32% (-1.023 -1.02)77.68% (1.023 1.02)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04% (-1.42 -1.42)31.96% (1.421 1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.58% (-1.651 -1.65)68.42% (1.651 1.65)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)28.12% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.2% (-0.11 -0.11)63.8% (0.11 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Defensor Sporting 33.14%
    Penarol 39.33%
    Draw 27.52%
Defensor SportingDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 10.25% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 7.42% (-0.242 -0.24)
2-0 @ 5.85% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-1 @ 2.82% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-0 @ 2.22% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 33.14%
1-1 @ 13% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 8.99% (0.426 0.43)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.165 -0.17)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.52%
0-1 @ 11.4% (0.51 0.51)
1-2 @ 8.25% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.23% (0.309 0.31)
1-3 @ 3.49% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.06% (0.124 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 39.33%

Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 4
Penarol
2-1
Defensor
Gonzalez (45+1'), Rodriguez (68' pen.)
Gonzalez (22')
Navarro (29' pen.)
Pintado (78')
Jul 23, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 7
Penarol
2-1
Defensor
Arezo (69'), Hernandez (88')
Rak (48'), Rodriguez (90+3')
Balboa (53')
Freitas (11')
Feb 25, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 4
Defensor
2-2
Penarol
Balboa (11'), Navarro (90+9' pen.)
Arezo (41'), Rossi (74' og.)
Aug 7, 2022 10.30pm
Gameweek 2
Defensor
2-3
Penarol
Balboa (61'), Mallo (68')
Rabino (43'), Sant'Anna (55')
Mendez (5'), Laquintana (48'), Ramos (71')
Arias (45+1'), Ramos (54'), Laquintana (57'), Viatri (67')
Feb 13, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 2
Penarol
0-1
Defensor

Laquintana (90+5')
Balboa (21')
Camargo (23'), Bernal (34'), Barrios (58')