Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 12
May 11, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Penarol1 - 0Wanderers
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Montevideo Wanderers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Caracas 0-1 Penarol
Tuesday, May 7 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Tuesday, May 7 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Wanderers 2-0 Progreso
Saturday, May 4 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, May 4 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
12
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 62.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 14.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.73%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Penarol in this match.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
62.53% ( -0.15) | 22.5% ( -0.01) | 14.97% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 43.74% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
