Liverpool (Uruguay)
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11
May 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Belvedere
Penarol

Liverpool
2 - 2
Penarol

Amaro (10'), Rosso (16')
Martinez (27'), Alfaro (42'), Garcia (67'), Ocampo (67'), Rodriguez (75'), Milans (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sequeira (8'), Silvera (90')
Rodriguez (20'), Garcia (31'), Coelho (60'), Milans (90+5')
Amaro (94+1')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Liverpool and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Progreso 2-1 Liverpool
Sunday, April 28 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 3-0 River Plate
Tuesday, April 30 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 47.05%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
LiverpoolDrawPenarol
26.7% (-1.681 -1.68)26.25% (-0.23 -0.23)47.05% (1.911 1.91)
Both teams to score 49.57% (-0.483 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.61% (-0.061 -0.06)54.38% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.24% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)75.76% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.47% (-1.379 -1.38)35.53% (1.379 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.7% (-1.454 -1.45)72.3% (1.454 1.45)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.9% (0.877 0.88)23.1% (-0.877 -0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.04% (1.267 1.27)56.96% (-1.266 -1.27)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 26.7%
    Penarol 47.04%
    Draw 26.24%
LiverpoolDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 8.49% (-0.304 -0.3)
2-1 @ 6.44% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-0 @ 4.4% (-0.331 -0.33)
3-1 @ 2.22% (-0.196 -0.2)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.52% (-0.176 -0.18)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 26.7%
1-1 @ 12.44% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 8.21% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 12.02% (0.33 0.33)
1-2 @ 9.12% (0.148 0.15)
0-2 @ 8.81% (0.462 0.46)
1-3 @ 4.45% (0.183 0.18)
0-3 @ 4.3% (0.33 0.33)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.107 0.11)
0-4 @ 1.58% (0.157 0.16)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 47.04%

Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 10pm
Penarol
0-1
Liverpool

Hernandez (51'), Arezo (54'), Mayada (90+2'), Hernandez (90+5')
Bentancourt (25')
Bentancourt (43'), Samudio (52'), Barrios (66')
Dec 13, 2023 8pm
Liverpool
2-0
Penarol
Vecino (70'), Bentancourt (81')
Meli (25'), Antoni (31'), Bentancourt (90+1'), Andueza (90+3')
Napoli (66')

Olivera (11'), Rodriguez (21')
Gonzalez (64')
Dec 9, 2023 10.30pm
Liverpool
0-1
Penarol

Izquierdo (33'), Bentancourt (90+2')
Rivero (90')
Hernandez (120')
Rodriguez (33'), Olivera (75'), Hernandez (83'), Menosse (107')
Nov 5, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 8
Penarol
0-1
Liverpool

Cristoforo (12'), Menosse (31'), Arezo (63'), Coelho (85')
Vecino (26')
Medina (25'), Vecino (27'), Siles (62'), Andueza (86'), Meli (90+1')
Mar 25, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 8
Liverpool
1-0
Penarol
Martirena (66')