Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Apr 7, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
Maldonado1 - 2Penarol
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Penarol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Progreso 3-1 Maldonado
Sunday, March 31 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, March 31 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 19.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.32%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Penarol |
19.86% ( -0.13) | 26.12% ( 0.06) | 54.02% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 42.75% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
