

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 52.98%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 24.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | SC Farense |
| 52.98% ( | 22.92% ( | 24.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.63% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.42% ( | 42.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.02% ( | 64.98% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.92% ( | 16.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.53% ( | 45.46% ( |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.68% ( | 31.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.32% ( | 67.68% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | SC Farense |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 1-0 @ 9.2% ( 2-0 @ 8.41% ( 3-1 @ 5.95% ( 3-0 @ 5.12% ( 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 4-1 @ 2.72% ( 4-0 @ 2.34% ( 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 5-1 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 3.44% Total : 52.98% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0-0 @ 5.04% ( 3-3 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.91% | 1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0-1 @ 5.85% ( 0-2 @ 3.39% ( 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0-3 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 24.1% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Porto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Sporting Lisbon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | BoavistaBoavista | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | AVS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Braga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Nacional | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Estrela Amadora | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | SC FarenseFarense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | AroucaArouca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Benfica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
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