

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Boavista | 
| 38.34% (  -0.02) | 26.54% (  -0) | 35.12% (  0.03) | 
| Both teams to score 52.32% (  0.01) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 47.44% (  0.01) | 52.56% (  -0) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 25.78% (  0) | 74.22% (  -0) | 
| SC Farense Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.29% (  -0.01) | 26.71% (  0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.03% (  -0.01) | 61.97% (  0.02) | 
| Boavista Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.39% (  0.02) | 28.61% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.59% (  0.02) | 64.41% (  -0.02) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| SC Farense | Draw | Boavista | 
| 1-0 @ 10.08% (  -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.33% (  -0) 2-0 @ 6.66% (  -0) 3-1 @ 3.67% (  -0) 3-0 @ 2.93% (  -0) 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.21% (  -0) 4-0 @ 0.97% (  -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.33% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 7.64% (  -0) 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 9.56% (  0) 1-2 @ 7.9% (  0) 0-2 @ 5.98% (  0) 1-3 @ 3.3% (  0) 0-3 @ 2.5% (  0) 2-3 @ 2.18% (  0) 1-4 @ 1.03% (  0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 35.12% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 78 | 25 | 53 | 72 | 
| 2 | Benfica | 29 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 69 | 
| 3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 62 | 
| 4 | Braga | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 60 | 
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 41 | 29 | 12 | 48 | 
| 6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 47 | 
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 43 | 
| 8 | Casa Pia | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 40 | 
| 9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 39 | 
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 35 | 
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 33 | 
| 12 | Nacional | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 32 | 
| 13 | AroucaArouca | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 30 | 
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 | 
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 26 | 
| 16 | AVS | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 22 | 48 | -26 | 23 | 
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 | 
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 | 
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