MX23RW : Sunday, April 27 23:24:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
Cruzeiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
Apr 18, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Bahia

Cruzeiro
3 - 0
Bahia

Romero (45+7'), Jorge (65', 76')
William (53'), Jorge (60'), Wanderson (64'), Christian (76'), Bruno (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Erick (23'), Arias (61')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Cruzeiro and Bahia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-1 Cruzeiro
Sunday, April 13 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 1-1 Mirassol
Sunday, April 13 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.

Result
CruzeiroDrawBahia
42.27% (-0.661 -0.66) 26.74% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 30.99% (0.65 0.65)
Both teams to score 50.6% (0.244 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.74% (0.17899999999999 0.18)54.26% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.34% (0.149 0.15)75.66% (-0.146 -0.15)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.62% (-0.256 -0.26)25.38% (0.259 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.81% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)60.19% (0.357 0.36)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.82% (0.559 0.56)32.19% (-0.556 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.33% (0.627 0.63)68.67% (-0.625 -0.63)
Score Analysis
    Cruzeiro 42.26%
    Bahia 30.99%
    Draw 26.73%
CruzeiroDrawBahia
1-0 @ 11.2% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 8.71% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.68% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-1 @ 3.98% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.51% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 42.26%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.17% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 9.26% (0.077 0.08)
1-2 @ 7.2% (0.115 0.12)
0-2 @ 5.25% (0.122 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.72% (0.084 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.076 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 30.99%

Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 1.30am
Gameweek 30
Cruzeiro
1-1
Bahia
Veron (61')
Pereira (74')
Rodriguez (82')
Ribeiro (43'), Luciano (59')
Jun 23, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 11
Bahia
4-1
Cruzeiro
Thaciano (45+9'), Estupinan (78', 90+6'), Teixeira (90+1')
Veron (14')
Silva (45+2'), Veron (48'), Ramiro (90')
Marlon (70')
Oct 26, 2023 12am
Gameweek 29
Cruzeiro
3-0
Bahia
Kanu (19' og.), Marlon (53'), Rodrigues (88')
Silva (27'), Machado (75')

Candido (63'), Oliveira Souza (90')
Jun 10, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 10
Bahia
2-2
Cruzeiro
Kayky (18'), Sales (66')
Kayky (19'), Rezende (27'), Carlos (51'), Kanu (68'), Fernandes (90+7')
Rodrigues (30'), Wesley (45+1')
Wallisson (64')
Nov 3, 2019 10pm
Gameweek 30
Cruzeiro
1-1
Bahia
Sassa (74')
Manuel Orejuela (45'), Fred (73'), Henrique (82')
Manuel Orejuela (64')
Fernandao (66' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FlamengoFlamengo64201521314
2PalmeirasPalmeiras541072513
3BragantinoBragantino531164210
4Fluminense631266010
5InternacionalInternacional62318449
6Botafogo62226428
7CearaCeara62228718
8Sao Paulo61506518
9Cruzeiro52126607
10Vasco da GamaVasco521267-17
11Corinthians6213610-47
12JuventudeJuventude6213714-77
13Mirassol614111927
14FortalezaFortaleza61325506
15Atletico Mineiro613268-26
16Bahia513157-26
17Vitoria512268-25
18SantosSantos511367-14
19Gremio5113410-64
20Sport RecifeSport602438-52


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!