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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
May 26, 2025 at 12am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
FC Cincinnati

Atlanta
4 - 2
Cincinnati

Williams (15'), Fortune (20'), Slisz (66'), Thiare (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Robinson (48'), Valenzuela (70')
Robinson (15'), Nwobodo (38'), Yedlin (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League clash between Atlanta United and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 0-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 18 at 12.15am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 0-1 FC Cincinnati

It is rare to see Cincinnati drop points from winning positions, and it is even rarer to see them repeat the same mistakes twice, which is why we expect them to be incredibly compact, while they have more than enough quality to take care of the Five Stripes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atlanta United win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for FC Cincinnati has a probability of 31.57% and a draw has a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win is 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.55%).

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawFC Cincinnati
45.07% (-0.225 -0.23) 23.36% (0.055 0.05) 31.57% (0.175 0.18)
Both teams to score 62.24% (-0.108 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.79% (-0.18 -0.18)39.21% (0.183 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.46% (-0.188 -0.19)61.54% (0.192 0.19)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.24% (-0.15899999999999 -0.16)17.76% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.55% (-0.278 -0.28)48.45% (0.281 0.28)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.68% (0.018000000000001 0.02)24.32% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.29% (0.022999999999996 0.02)58.7% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 45.07%
    FC Cincinnati 31.57%
    Draw 23.36%
Atlanta UnitedDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.46% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.72% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.72% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.27% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 45.07%
1-1 @ 10.55% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.32% (0.037 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.36%
1-2 @ 7.46% (0.031 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.11% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.32% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.52% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 31.57%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Cincinnati

Atlanta United
14.3%
Draw
7.1%
FC Cincinnati
78.6%
14
Head to Head
Mar 22, 2025 6.30pm
Cincinnati
2-2
Atlanta
Evander (70', 75')
Engel (9'), Kubo (27'), Yedlin (59')
Latte Lath (50'), Powell (88' og.)
Reilly (27'), Edwards (69'), Latte Lath (90+1')
May 16, 2024 12.30am
Apr 21, 2024 12.30am
Atlanta
1-2
Cincinnati
Almada (59')
Fortune (68')
Orellano (62'), Acosta (64')
Robinson (83'), Bucha (89'), Bucha (90+2'), Acosta (90+2')
Oct 21, 2023 11pm
Cincinnati
2-2
Atlanta
Badji (25'), Acosta (45+2')
Miazga (73')
Giakoumakis (12', 32')
Almada (36'), Thiare (85')
Almada (51')
Aug 31, 2023 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1382324121226
2Columbus Crew137512113826
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati148242019126
4New York City FCNY City147251815323
5Orlando City135622415921
6Nashville SCNashville136342215721
7Inter MiamiInter Miami126332118321
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136162018219
9Chicago Fire145452527-219
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls135351915418
11New England RevolutionNew England125341210218
12Toronto133461617-113
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta143471725-813
14DC United133461325-1213
15CF MontrealMontreal13139722-156

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1374222111125
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle135532115620
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes135262620617
8Austin FCAustin13526815-717
9Dallas134451522-716
10Houston DynamoHouston133461319-613
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake134181319-613
12St Louis City13247917-810
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas122281622-68
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy120481029-194
15San Diego FC00000000


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