Major League Soccer

May 26, 2025 at 12am UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
4 - 2
Cincinnati

Williams (15', 15'), Fortune (20', 20'), Slisz (66', 66'), Thiare (90+4', 90+4')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Robinson (48', 48'), Valenzuela (70', 70')
Robinson (15'), Robinson (15'), Nwobodo (38'), Nwobodo (38'), Yedlin (90'), Yedlin (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League clash between Atlanta United and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Atlanta 0-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 18 at 12.15am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	FC Cincinnati
45.07% ( -0.21)	23.36% ( 0.05)	31.57% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 62.24% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.79% (

-0.17)

39.21% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.46% (

-0.18)

61.54% (

0.19)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.24% (

-0.15)

17.76% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.55% (

-0.27)

48.45% (

0.27)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.68% (

0.02)

24.32% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.29% (

0.02)

58.7% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 45.07%

FC Cincinnati 31.57%

Draw 23.36%

Atlanta United	Draw	FC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.87% Total : 45.07%	1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.36%	1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 31.57%