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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
May 26, 2025 at 12am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
FC Cincinnati

Atlanta
4 - 2
Cincinnati

Williams (15', 15'), Fortune (20', 20'), Slisz (66', 66'), Thiare (90+4', 90+4')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Robinson (48', 48'), Valenzuela (70', 70')
Robinson (15'), Robinson (15'), Nwobodo (38'), Nwobodo (38'), Yedlin (90'), Yedlin (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League clash between Atlanta United and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 0-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawFC Cincinnati
45.07% (-0.21 -0.21)23.36% (0.053000000000001 0.05)31.57% (0.163 0.16)
Both teams to score 62.24% (-0.103 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.79% (-0.173 -0.17)39.21% (0.178 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.46% (-0.181 -0.18)61.54% (0.186 0.19)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.24% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)17.76% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.55% (-0.265 -0.27)48.45% (0.269 0.27)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.68% (0.015000000000001 0.02)24.32% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.29% (0.016999999999996 0.02)58.7% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 45.07%
    FC Cincinnati 31.57%
    Draw 23.36%
Atlanta UnitedDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.46% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.72% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.72% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.27% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 45.07%
1-1 @ 10.55% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.32% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.36%
1-2 @ 7.46% (0.029 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.11% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.32% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.52% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 31.57%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Cincinnati

Atlanta United
14.3%
Draw
7.1%
FC Cincinnati
78.6%
14
Head to Head
Mar 22, 2025 6.30pm
Cincinnati
2-2
Atlanta
Evander (70', 75')
Engel (9'), Kubo (27'), Yedlin (59')
Latte Lath (50'), Powell (88' og.)
Reilly (27'), Edwards (69'), Latte Lath (90+1')
May 16, 2024 12.30am
Apr 21, 2024 12.30am
Atlanta
1-2
Cincinnati
Almada (59')
Fortune (68')
Orellano (62'), Acosta (64')
Robinson (83'), Bucha (89'), Bucha (90+2'), Acosta (90+2')
Oct 21, 2023 11pm
Cincinnati
2-2
Atlanta
Badji (25'), Acosta (45+2')
Miazga (73')
Giakoumakis (12', 32')
Almada (36'), Thiare (85')
Almada (51')
Aug 31, 2023 12.30am
rhs 2.0


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