Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.