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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Apr 20, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
Atlanta United

Philadelphia
3 - 0
Atlanta

Sullivan (27'), Jean Jacques (50'), Baribo (84')
Glesnes (19'), Lukic (45+3'), Jean Jacques (57')
Lukic (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Amador (68'), Latte Lath (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between Philadelphia Union and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 1-0 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 13 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 0-1 New England
Saturday, April 12 at 7.45pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 1-1 Atlanta United

Despite the difference in league positions, Atlanta have enjoyed a marginally better run of form of late. With that in mind, we are backing the visitors to earn a share of the spoils to frustrate their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawAtlanta United
47.19% (-0.433 -0.43) 23.69% (0.128 0.13) 29.11% (0.299 0.3)
Both teams to score 59.6% (-0.237 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.95% (-0.408 -0.41)42.05% (0.402 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.54% (-0.412 -0.41)64.45% (0.405 0.41)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.97% (-0.32899999999999 -0.33)18.02% (0.322 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.08% (-0.56 -0.56)48.91% (0.553 0.55)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.71% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)27.28% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)62.72% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 47.19%
    Atlanta United 29.11%
    Draw 23.68%
Philadelphia UnionDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.43% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.22% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.49% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 47.19%
1-1 @ 10.94% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.09% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.088 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.68%
1-2 @ 7.11% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.39% (0.115 0.12)
0-2 @ 4.15% (0.074 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 1% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 29.11%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Atlanta

Philadelphia Union
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Atlanta United
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 12.30am
Apr 14, 2024 7.30pm
Atlanta
2-2
Philadelphia
Rios (55'), Wiley (63')
Almada (25'), Muyumba (84')
Uhre (73'), Wagner (77')
Carranza (21'), Gazdag (35'), Andres Martinez (35'), Wagner (75'), McGlynn (90+5')
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
3-2
Atlanta
Gazdag (39'), Uhre (41'), Carranza (45+3')
Elliott (34'), Sullivan (66'), Andres Martinez (75'), Harriel (81')
Almada (56' pen.), Mosquera (77')
Thiare (75')
Jul 2, 2023 9pm
Atlanta
2-0
Philadelphia
Almada (7'), Lennon (79')
Sejdic (70'), Ibarra (75')

Harriel (4'), Carranza (47'), Uhre (65'), Torres (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati107121512322
2Columbus Crew10631148621
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia106131991019
4Charlotte FCCharlotte FC10613168819
5Inter MiamiInter Miami95311610618
6Nashville SCNashville105141913616
7Orlando City104421812616
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls10433119215
9New York City FCNY City104241213-114
10New England RevolutionNew England941477013
11Chicago Fire103341822-412
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta102351119-89
13DC United102351122-119
14Toronto10145814-67
15CF MontrealMontreal10037414-103

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver107212071323
2Portland TimbersPortland105322015518
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd104421210216
4Colorado RapidsColorado104421414016
5Austin FCAustin10514710-316
6Dallas104331414015
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104241516-114
8Seattle SoundersSeattle103431312113
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake104061115-412
10San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes103162019110
11St Louis City1024478-110
12Houston DynamoHouston102441014-410
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy10037820-123
15San Diego FC00000000


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