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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Mar 16, 2025 at 6.25pm UK
Subaru Park
Nashville

Philadelphia
1 - 3
Nashville

Lukic (33')
Wagner (88'), Damiani (90+3')
Makhanya (90+12')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Surridge (15'), Qasem (44'), Williams (82' pen.)
Yazbek (45+2'), Tagseth (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New England 0-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, March 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 2-0 Portland
Sunday, March 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 1-0 Nashville SC

The Union are likely to face their toughest defensive test yet, but they are pretty sharp in that department too, and we believe they have the resources to counter the Boys in Gold and continue their winning ways. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawNashville SC
48.86% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 24.11% (0.053000000000001 0.05) 27.03% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.55% (-0.203 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.65% (-0.261 -0.26)45.35% (0.257 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.31% (-0.251 -0.25)67.69% (0.245 0.25)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.35% (-0.119 -0.12)18.65% (0.115 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.03% (-0.198 -0.2)49.97% (0.193 0.19)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.52% (-0.151 -0.15)30.48% (0.146 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.31% (-0.176 -0.18)66.69% (0.172 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 48.86%
    Nashville SC 27.03%
    Draw 24.1%
Philadelphia UnionDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 9.55% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.02% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.49%
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.88% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 48.86%
1-1 @ 11.34% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.68% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.047 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.01% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 27.03%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Nashville

Philadelphia Union
100%
Draw
0.0%
Nashville SC
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2024 12.30am
Philadelphia
3-0
Nashville
Gazdag (10', 39', 89')
Lowe (2'), Uhre (20'), Elliott (61')

Muyl (60'), Bauer (67'), Godoy (76')
Apr 7, 2024 1.30am
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
Jul 13, 2023 1.30am
Nashville
0-2
Philadelphia

Lovitz (39'), Leal (43'), Bunbury (71')
Lovitz (81'), Moore (90+5')
Gazdag (40' pen., 84')
Curtin (40'), Wagner (44'), Gazdag (84')
Carranza (90+5')
May 1, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 3
Nashville
1-1
Philadelphia
Leal (85' pen.)
Lovitz (33'), Muyl (37'), Davis (49'), Leal (76')
Uhre (66')
Wagner (60'), Andres Martinez (62'), Blake (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000


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