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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Mar 16, 2025 at 6.25pm UK
Subaru Park
Nashville

Philadelphia
1 - 3
Nashville

Lukic (33')
Wagner (88'), Damiani (90+3')
Makhanya (90+12')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Surridge (15'), Qasem (44'), Williams (82' pen.)
Yazbek (45+2'), Tagseth (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New England 0-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, March 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 2-0 Portland
Sunday, March 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 1-0 Nashville SC

The Union are likely to face their toughest defensive test yet, but they are pretty sharp in that department too, and we believe they have the resources to counter the Boys in Gold and continue their winning ways. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawNashville SC
48.86% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 24.11% (0.053000000000001 0.05) 27.03% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.55% (-0.203 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.65% (-0.261 -0.26)45.35% (0.257 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.31% (-0.251 -0.25)67.69% (0.245 0.25)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.35% (-0.119 -0.12)18.65% (0.115 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.03% (-0.198 -0.2)49.97% (0.193 0.19)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.52% (-0.151 -0.15)30.48% (0.146 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.31% (-0.176 -0.18)66.69% (0.172 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 48.86%
    Nashville SC 27.03%
    Draw 24.1%
Philadelphia UnionDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 9.55% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.02% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.49%
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.88% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 48.86%
1-1 @ 11.34% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.68% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.047 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.01% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 27.03%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Nashville

Philadelphia Union
100%
Draw
0.0%
Nashville SC
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2024 12.30am
Philadelphia
3-0
Nashville
Gazdag (10', 39', 89')
Lowe (2'), Uhre (20'), Elliott (61')

Muyl (60'), Bauer (67'), Godoy (76')
Apr 7, 2024 1.30am
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
Jul 13, 2023 1.30am
Nashville
0-2
Philadelphia

Lovitz (39'), Leal (43'), Bunbury (71')
Lovitz (81'), Moore (90+5')
Gazdag (40' pen., 84')
Curtin (40'), Wagner (44'), Gazdag (84')
Carranza (90+5')
May 1, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 3
Nashville
1-1
Philadelphia
Leal (85' pen.)
Lovitz (33'), Muyl (37'), Davis (49'), Leal (76')
Uhre (66')
Wagner (60'), Andres Martinez (62'), Blake (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati107121512322
2Columbus Crew10631148621
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia106131991019
4Charlotte FCCharlotte FC10613168819
5Inter MiamiInter Miami95311610618
6Nashville SCNashville105141913616
7Orlando City104421812616
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls10433119215
9New York City FCNY City104241213-114
10New England RevolutionNew England941477013
11Chicago Fire103341822-412
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta102351119-89
13DC United102351122-119
14Toronto10145814-67
15CF MontrealMontreal10037414-103

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver107212071323
2Portland TimbersPortland105322015518
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd104421210216
4Colorado RapidsColorado104421414016
5Austin FCAustin10514710-316
6Dallas104331414015
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104241516-114
8Seattle SoundersSeattle103431312113
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake104061115-412
10San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes103162019110
11St Louis City1024478-110
12Houston DynamoHouston102441014-410
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy10037820-123
15San Diego FC00000000


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