

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 59.68%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 20.79% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.25%) and 3-1 (7.18%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (5.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 59.68% ( | 19.53% ( | 20.79% ( |
| Both teams to score 65.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.52% ( | 30.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.23% ( | 51.77% ( |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.88% ( | 10.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 66.69% ( | 33.32% ( |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.7% ( | 27.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.26% ( | 62.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 2-0 @ 7.25% ( 3-1 @ 7.18% ( 1-0 @ 6.33% ( 3-0 @ 5.53% ( 3-2 @ 4.66% ( 4-1 @ 4.11% ( 4-0 @ 3.17% ( 4-2 @ 2.67% ( 5-1 @ 1.88% ( 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 5-2 @ 1.22% ( 4-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 3.64% Total : 59.68% | 1-1 @ 8.22% ( 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0-0 @ 2.77% ( 3-3 @ 2.02% ( Other @ 0.42% Total : 19.54% | 1-2 @ 5.34% ( 0-1 @ 3.59% ( 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0-2 @ 2.33% ( 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 3.57% Total : 20.79% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Columbus Crew | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 |
| 4 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Nashville SCNashville | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Chicago Fire | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | New York City FCNY City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | DC United | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Orlando City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
| 14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1 |
| 15 | Toronto | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 1 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | St Louis City | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 |
| 3 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Austin FCAustin | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 6 |
| 9 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Dallas | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 4 |
| 11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 4 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 1 |
| 13 | Houston DynamoHouston | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 |
| 15 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
