World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 22, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Nagyerdei Stadion
Israel2 - 1Estonia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Israel 1-0 Belgium
Sunday, November 17 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Sunday, November 17 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 6 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Italy | 6 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Belgium | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Israel | 6 | -8 | 4 |
Last Game: Slovakia 1-0 Estonia
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Israel 2-0 Estonia
Israel may have struggled to grind out positive results in 'home' fixtures in Hungary, but they will fancy their chances of success against Estonia, a nation that they have previously beaten twice by an aggregate score of 5-0. Estonia have failed to score in five of their last six matches and also looked leaky at the back towards the end of last year, so unless they improve at both ends of the pitch, they may find if difficult to prevail against the Sky-Blue and Whites this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 60.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 16.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.24%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Israel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Israel | Draw | Estonia |
60.4% ( 1.36) | 23.27% ( -0.19) | 16.33% ( -1.17) |
| Both teams to score 44.45% ( -1.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
