World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Mar 22, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Nagyerdei Stadion

Israel
2 - 1
Estonia

Hein (23' og.), Dasa (75')
Shlomo (61')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Paskotsi (10')
Peetson (36'), Soomets (40'), Anier (90')
Soomets (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Israel and Estonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Israel

All competitions

Last Game: Israel 1-0 Belgium
Sunday, November 17 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	6	6	13
2	Italy	6	5	13
3	Belgium	6	-3	4
4	Israel	6	-8	4

Estonia

All competitions

Last Game: Slovakia 1-0 Estonia
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Estonia	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 60.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 16.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.24%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Israel would win this match.

Result
Israel	Draw	Estonia
60.4% ( 1.36)	23.27% ( -0.19)	16.33% ( -1.17)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Israel	Draw	Estonia
1-0 @ 14.07% ( 0.6) 2-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.57) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.38% Total : 60.39%	1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.6% Total : 23.26%	0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.37% Total : 16.33%