

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Queen's Park |
| 44.7% ( | 26.26% ( | 29.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.86% ( | 53.15% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.28% ( | 74.72% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.32% ( | 23.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.21% ( | 57.79% ( |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.97% ( | 33.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.38% ( | 69.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Queen's Park |
| 1-0 @ 11.26% ( 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 2-0 @ 8.12% ( 3-1 @ 4.32% ( 3-0 @ 3.9% ( 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 4-0 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 44.69% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 2-2 @ 4.98% ( Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.26% | 0-1 @ 8.66% ( 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0-2 @ 4.8% ( 1-3 @ 2.55% ( 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0-3 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 29.05% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 70 |
| 2 | Livingston | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 67 |
| 3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 59 |
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 49 |
| 5 | Raith Rovers | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 49 |
| 6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 44 |
| 7 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 34 |
| 8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 34 |
| 9 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 34 | 61 | -27 | 28 |
| 10 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 37 | 58 | -21 | 21 |
| > Scottish Championship Full Table | |||||||||
