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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Apr 20, 2025 at 3.30am UK
Earthquakes Stadium
Sporting Kansas

Earthquakes
3 - 5
Kansas

Martinez (30'), Arango (42', 90+4' pen.)
Kaye (36'), Rodrigues (52')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Ndenbe (18'), Salloi (21', 73'), Garcia (24'), Thommy (85')
Pulskamp (90+2'), Pulskamp (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 2-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 13 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 2-4 Portland
Sunday, April 13 at 7.15pm in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 Sporting Kansas City

San Jose have struggled at times in 2025, but they are expected to earn a routine win over the struggling visitors; therefore, we reckon the hosts will claim a narrow 2-1 win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 52.04%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 26.04% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawSporting Kansas City
52.04% (-0.219 -0.22) 21.91% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 26.04% (0.221 0.22)
Both teams to score 63.39% (0.236 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.07% (0.213 0.21)35.93% (-0.215 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.98% (0.235 0.23)58.02% (-0.238 -0.24)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)14.04% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)41.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.74% (0.26899999999999 0.27)26.25% (-0.272 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.63% (0.361 0.36)61.37% (-0.364 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 52.05%
    Sporting Kansas City 26.04%
    Draw 21.91%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawSporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.24% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.1% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.22% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.65% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.16% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.28% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.04% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 0.91% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 52.05%
1-1 @ 9.68% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.35% (0.032 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.69% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.85% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.91%
1-2 @ 6.47% (0.032 0.03)
0-1 @ 4.93% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.3% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.47% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 26.04%

Head to Head
Mar 2, 2025 1.30am
Kansas
1-2
Earthquakes
Joveljic (27' pen.)
Leibold (5'), Bartlett (16'), Davis (45'), Radoja (67'), Radoja (67')
Arango (3'), Martinez (19')
Lopez (45+5')
Lopez (52')
Jul 14, 2024 3.30am
Earthquakes
1-2
Kansas
Shelton (83' og.)
Kikanovic (37'), Skahan (87')
Thommy (48'), Pulido (57')
Leibold (38')
Mar 17, 2024 12.30am
Kansas
2-1
Earthquakes
Rosero (18'), Pulido (29')
Rosero (35'), Salloi (82'), Thommy (90+1')
Costa (11')
Bouda (66'), Espinoza (80')
Oct 26, 2023 2.30am
Kansas
0-0
Earthquakes
(Aggregate 0-0 | Kansas win 4-2 on penalties)
Fontas (59')
Hoppe (55'), Skahan (80'), Judson (87')
Aug 27, 2023 1.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000


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